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Messages - CarltonTheBear

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1
Almost certainly the best decision for Johnsson.

For Johnsson, probably.  For us fans, probably not.

I mean, yes and no I suppose. As much as I like Johnsson the odds of him coming in and scoring 50 points, or I mean even 40 points in his rookie season is pretty slim. So at least this way the team gets a better look at him for a year and they'll be in a position to negotiate a longer term deal after just 1 year of NHL service. If they negotiated a longer term deal after 2 years of NHL service he could have had more evidence to justify a more expensive deal.

Personally speaking I would have tried to get him at a reasonable rate for 4+ years, but if the options were only 1 or 2 then I think 1 is the safer bet.

2
Almost certainly the best decision for Johnsson.

3
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: 2018 Offseason Review
« on: July 13, 2018, 01:29:57 PM »
I wonder how much the AHL playoff MVP award would help his cause. If he does sign closer to 1.5 per year, I would point to that Jack Butterfield award as a significant factor considering Walmart's contract.

Yeah I think that might push him closer to $1mil but over-doubling Wallmark's contract (again if it's only a 2-year deal) seems pretty unlikely. I mean I wouldn't hate that contract but you should be able to get it done for less.

I'd also add that while Wallmark didn't have the playoff success that Johnsson did his points-per-game ratio was the highest in the AHL this past season, so that's a pretty big accomplishment too.

4
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: 2018 Offseason Review
« on: July 13, 2018, 01:26:54 PM »
This made me smile ... that's a typo almost impossible *not* to make.  :)

Yeah, I'll consider doing it only 1 out of 6 times a win.

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Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: 2018 Offseason Review
« on: July 13, 2018, 12:19:33 PM »
Thanks Carlton.  I guess I'm wondering what you pay for this guy, given you'd likely like to see what he can do before you commit long term?

$1.5m X 2?

On a short-term deal, you might even be able to get him for less than that. The Leafs would really hold all the cards in these negotiations.

Carolina just signed somebody named Lucas Wallmark and that could be a decent comparable to Johnsson. Wallmart is a 22, turning 23 in September, Swedish forward with 2 years of AHL experience. In his first season he scored 46 points in 67 games and in his second season he scored 55 points in 45 games. Johnsson is 23, turning 24 in November who scored 47 points in 75 games in his rookie AHL season and 54 points in 54 games this season. Both are eligible for waivers starting next season. So pretty comparable ages/careers at this point, with Wallmark actually being younger and having an edge in points/game at the AHL level.

Wallmark signed a 2-year deal with a $0.675mil AAV. It's a two-way deal in year 1 and a one-way deal in year 2. I don't know exactly where the Canes plan on playing Wallmark next season, but considering his waiver eligibility I'd imagine he's being pencilled into the NHL roster somewhere to start, just like Johnsson. That's a pretty cheap contract but again like Johnsson Wallmark really doesn't have much negotiating power at this point in his career.

For what it's worth, these are Matt Cane's salary projections for Johnsson based on the term of his deal:

1 year, $0.718mil
2 year, $0.768mil
3 year, $1.3mil
4 year, $1.48mil
5-8 year, $2mil

6
NHL Transactions / Fleury signs 3 year extension with Vegas
« on: July 13, 2018, 11:55:37 AM »

He still has 1 year left at $5.75mil.

I really don't get the rush here from the Knights. Fleury just had a career year at the age of 33. What are the odds that he follows that up with another one? And that's a hell of a cap hit.

7
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: 2018 Offseason Review
« on: July 13, 2018, 11:51:57 AM »
I'm having trouble with the Johnsson contract...how many years until he's a UFA?

EDIT:  I guess I should clarify, he signed his ELC at 20, and he's turning 24...so I'm wondering how many RFA years he has left.

He'll be eligible for unrestricted free agency when he's over 27 years old as of June 30th of the end of the league year. So that gives him 4 more RFA seasons left.

8
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: John Tavares is a Maple Leaf
« on: July 13, 2018, 08:05:52 AM »
I said before how those tax calculators that were going around probably weren't all that accurate since people like Tavares likely have very smart people looking after his money and getting paid quite a bit to make sure he's maximizing his returns, and this is a good article describing a couple ways he could do that:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/seanpackard/2018/07/06/john-tavares-could-save-nearly-12-million-in-taxes-on-his-new-contract/#6cd63ffe1ab7

9
NHL Transactions / Re: Hossa's contract being shipped to Arizona
« on: July 13, 2018, 07:58:48 AM »

Cap recapture penalties were one of the dumbest things the league has done in awhile.

10
NHL Transactions / Re: Hossa's contract being shipped to Arizona
« on: July 12, 2018, 03:09:04 PM »
Quote
The Blackhawks have released the following statement on Hossa:

"Today is another example of the leadership Marian has displayed as a member of the Chicago Blackhawks organization. When we approached him to discuss the idea of him waiving his no-move clause to allow us to make this move, it became clear this was a difficult thing for him to consider. After the success he has had in a Blackhawks jersey, the friends he has made throughout the organization and the fact his heart will always be in Chicago, the thought of disassociating in any way from the team he has come to love was not something he really wanted to give any thought to at all. But, as the consummate team player, he did what he has always done. He did what the team needed him to do in order to succeed.

Yes I'm sure this was a real gut-wrenching decision for Hossa to make. I can't wait for his Players Tribune article about it.

11
NHL Transactions / Re: Hossa's contract being shipped to Arizona
« on: July 12, 2018, 03:03:18 PM »

Haha they brought back Kruger, that'll fix things.

On the other hand though I genuinely don't understand why the Coyotes do this trade.

12
NHL Transactions / Re: Hossa's contract being shipped to Arizona
« on: July 12, 2018, 03:00:49 PM »
Well, you figure years of a crummy roster is a pretty reasonable punishment for the crime of putting together a really good roster and winning so much. That sort of thing really can't be tolerated.

It's funny to think that the organization would have probably been 100% better off if they fired Bowman the day after he led them to their 3rd Stanley Cup in 6 years.

13
NHL Transactions / Re: Hossa's contract being shipped to Arizona
« on: July 12, 2018, 02:48:39 PM »
Good thing for Chicago that they hit on the DeBrincat pick, that roster is a little thin.

Their roster really is fugly. Once Hinostroza is traded they'll be left with 7 NHL forwards. That's it.  It sounds like there's other pieces coming back to them here but still.

And then there's the fact that their defence might be even more of a mess.

14
NHL Transactions / Re: Hossa's contract being shipped to Arizona
« on: July 12, 2018, 02:33:00 PM »
Other cap space deals the Coyotes have made in the past few years:


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NHL Transactions / Hossa's contract being shipped to Arizona
« on: July 12, 2018, 02:31:47 PM »

Because of course it is.

Hossa has 3 years left on his contract with a $5.275mil AAV. Each of those years only pay him $1mil though because he obviously never intended to play them.

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