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Messages - Potvin29

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 856
1

A couple of pretty nice moves from the Penguins here I think:


You're awesome, but can you post the text version of these also, please?

Viewing on tapatalk doesn't show the tweet feature, we need to switch to web view and then try and locate the post with the embedded tweet.

1920 called they want their technology back.

2
Former Leafs: Ex-Files / Re: Nik Anrtropov
« on: Today at 02:41:41 PM »
He's 35? Damn.

3
Shock. Awe.  Lou gets it done.


4
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Steal of the 2015 Draft?
« on: Today at 09:58:50 AM »
Can anyone name a player drafted out of the CHL in a similar late round like Timashov with similar PPG (1.36 PPG)?  Has to be their draft eligible season too, none of this went through the draft once and increased numbers when they got older stuff.

I'm sure they exist I just don't know how to go about looking it up.

I think the only way to do it would be to use eliteprospects.com's stats page. From there you can filter through seasons in the Q and look at player stats for guys U19 guys and sort through PPG. Then of course you need to double check their age/experience to make sure it's their first draft eligible year.

I did find one other guy from the 2015 draft that I think fits: Anthony Richard. Had 91 points in 66 games. Drafted 25 spots ahead of Timashov in the 4th round. Richard is smaller though, listed at 5'9", 165 lbs. He also had 2 years of experience in the Q before his draft season.

Yeah and I think the article had a little chart as well showing how Timashov's age-adjusted ES PPG ranked among players drafted in recent seasons from the Q and closest comparable is probably Conor Garland who was picked 2 spots before Timashov.  He had a higher overall PPG, though evidently not a higher ES PPG.

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Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Steal of the 2015 Draft?
« on: Today at 09:50:54 AM »
Can anyone name a player drafted out of the CHL in a similar late round like Timashov with similar PPG (1.36 PPG)?  Has to be their draft eligible season too, none of this went through the draft once and increased numbers when they got older stuff.

I'm sure they exist I just don't know how to go about looking it up.

Hey hobarth, do you own research for your bad thread.

As I tried to make clear, I tried to look it up and didn't get anywhere.

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Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Steal of the 2015 Draft?
« on: Today at 09:21:10 AM »
Can anyone name a player drafted out of the CHL in a similar late round like Timashov with similar PPG (1.36 PPG)?  Has to be their draft eligible season too, none of this went through the draft once and increased numbers when they got older stuff.

I'm sure they exist I just don't know how to go about looking it up.

7
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: Jays acquire Troy Tulowitzki
« on: Today at 09:06:24 AM »
And if there is concern about him leaving Coors Field, Rogers Centre isn't exactly known as Oakland for hitters.

But the point about Coors field isn't about whether or not his numbers look superficially good, it's about the relative value of runs produced in that environment.

Tulowitzki's a good player and his offense is obviously very valuable regardless of the park he's in but that's largely true about Reyes too. The question is whether or not his defense is worth trading away a bunch of pitching prospects when the Jays have a pitching staff that, to put it politely, looks like a dumpster fire.

I think they can still upgrade the relief pitching, which I think remains the biggest issue.  I don't think they're as bad as they've been, talent-wise, but a combination of things.  This comparison with the Royals (who are 60-38) was going around yesterday:



The link if it's too small or won't increase in size: http://pbs.twimg.com/media/CK9JC92UAAA4q8P.png:large

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Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: Jays acquire Troy Tulowitzki
« on: Today at 08:17:56 AM »
I don't really get it.  As much as I was down on Reyes, Tulo is a career .819 OPS away from Coors field.  That's really good for a SS.  But the Jays problem really isn't their offense.  It's their garbage pitching.  So instead of improving their pitching AA goes and gives up Miguel Castro, one of our 20 year old prospects he felt the need to rush to the majors this year with and Jeff Hoffman our 1st round pick from last year.

The Jays pitching isn't good enough to win.  So why double down on the offense when the offense can't drag the team past .500?  Something more really needs to happen now which means AA is being allowed to bankrupt the prospect pool.

This definitely came out of nowhere.  It also somewhat corrects the fact that AA drafted Ricky Romero instead of Tulo years ago.

That's kind of what I was thinking. From a value perspective, this is a good deal. You aren't going to add a player like Tulo without giving up a prospect like Hoffman, but from a needs perspective? Doesn't make sense. Yeah, Tulo is an upgrade on Reyes, but that's an upgrade that's well down the list of areas where the Jays needed to improve. You don't move one of your best prospects for that. If Hoffman was going to be moved, it should have been in a deal for a front of the rotation starter. If that kind of deal isn't out there? Don't move Hoffman.

Still...he was a 5.0+ bWar player the last 2 seasons (last season in only 91 games - basically what Donaldson has done so far).  And if there is concern about him leaving Coors Field, Rogers Centre isn't exactly known as Oakland for hitters.  Plus his defense is an upgrade.

Quote
So when you see comments about the Blue Jays not needing Troy Tulowitzki because scoring runs wasn’t the team’s problem, ignore them. There are no diminishing returns to scoring more runs; there is no point on offense to where the marginal value of a run scored is worth less than preventing a run from being allowed on defense. All that matters is the differential between runs scored and allowed, and you don’t get any extra credit for being above average at both as opposed to dominating in one and surviving at the other.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/troy-tulowitzki-the-blue-jays-and-upgrading-strengths/

And as that article points out, most of the good pitchers available are free agents.  If you're selling off pieces of the farm for pitchers who might walk at season's end?  This seems like better value IMO:

Quote
Teams upgrade their weaknesses out of convenience, not necessity. It’s usually just easier to replace your worst player with a mediocre one than swap out your solid player for a great one. But the Blue Jays were in a bit of a unique position, with a window to win that extends through 2016 but maybe not beyond that — Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion are both free agents after next year, and while Russell Martin was a good addition, he’s not going to be an elite catcher forever — so Alex Anthopolous was wary to use his farm system to make a move that only helped this year’s roster without also upgrading next year’s Blue Jays team as well.

And while there are a lot of pitchers available right now, most of them are headed for free agency this winter, with Cole Hamels and Aroldis Chapman being the notable excpetions; the Blue Jays are on Hamels no-trade list and the price for Chapman is reportedly quite high, especially for a guy who throws just 15-20 pitches per appearance. So if Anthoplous found every team he called asking about his best young prospects — and that was reportedly the case when they tried to engage on Johnny Cueto — then upgrading at shortstop with a player who won’t leave this winter might very well be preferable.

...

Which is why the Jays also had to part with some of their young talent in order to get this deal done. Because the deal isn’t known in its entirety as I write this, I’m going to hold off on declaring whether the return justifies the price, but we do know that Miguel Castro and Jeff Hoffman are part of the return going back to Colorado, with one other additional piece apparently in the deal as well.

Kiley McDaniel rated Hoffman as a 55 FV, placing him #67 on his pre-season Top 200, and confirmed that he’d keep the same grade on him after seeing him a few weeks ago. As a guy working his way back from Tommy John surgery, he’s certainly a high-risk prospect, but one with significant value given his upside. Castro, rated a 45+ FV on the same list, is also a pretty high-risk gamble, given that he’s basically all arm strength at this point, showing no real ability to get either big leaguers or Triple-A hitters out this year. The Blue Jays rushed him up the ladder, and perhaps the Rockies can get him back on track with a more cautious development plan, but he’s going to need more than just a poorly commanded fastball to turn into a good pitcher.

In terms of prospect value, these two look fairly similar to the two primary pieces the Reds got in exchange for Cueto. If the third prospect in the deal is the least valuable of the trio, then it may very well be that the Blue Jays paid less to get Tulowitzki than the Royals paid to get their rent-an-ace. Perhaps we’ll find out that the third prospect is actually another valuable piece, but as it stands right now, it seems like this may very well have been a better use of the team’s prospect currency than swapping it for a few months of a starting pitcher.

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Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Steal of the 2015 Draft?
« on: Yesterday at 04:01:10 PM »
It does go into some possible reasons(I can't make lists on here):

Quote
In fact, Timashov’s fall at the draft was an almost textbook example of how a young player’s potential can get lost in the shadows. Let’s count the ways in which the full information about Timashov got lost, broken or blurred:

He was born October 1st, two weeks too young to be drafted with Nylander and the 2014 group. For scouts seeing him just this year in the Q, he would look like a “relatively old” pick for 2015.

His junior career got broken across two continents. Two different sets of scouts saw him, and in different years. So, inevitably, some information gets lost, and some fails to translate.

The Russian factor. People hear the name and think “Russian,” and that overrides the fact that he’s a Swedish citizen and has a Ukrainian Mum.

In Sweden, he was a Ukrainian-Russian immigrant, which reduced his chances to be named to national teams for international experience.

He looks short, and is short, except that he’s now 192 pounds — not that small for age 18. If you knew the wrestler’s son background, you might expect him to fill out further. Nonetheless, a lot of teams will filter him out as “5-10.”

He played in the Q, and if you hear about a kid who’s small, older, racks up a lot of assists, and is in the Q… well, there are preconceptions, right? Like, that he’s also soft, a powerplay specialist, etc.


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Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Steal of the 2015 Draft?
« on: Yesterday at 03:50:50 PM »
I remember when some people were pretty pumped about Didomenico, and Flaake, and _________ (add in your favourite draft steal).

None of those were ever really on the basis of their draft year production being like this situation though.

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Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Steal of the 2015 Draft?
« on: Yesterday at 02:07:47 PM »
I admit the first 900 or so words of the article were basically completely unnecessary, but once you get into the actual analysis it's a good look at Timashov and how he stacks up to other top prospects in the league.

Skip to the picture of Nylander (always a good place to start) and realize that they're talking about Timashov and it's a good article.

I bet you go to the mall and tell kids the truth about Santa too!

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Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Steal of the 2015 Draft?
« on: Yesterday at 12:46:00 PM »
So brave of you all to come forward. #NeverForget

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Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Steal of the 2015 Draft?
« on: Yesterday at 11:17:03 AM »
This is pretty good.  I won't spoil the article by telling you which prospect it's about: http://mapleleafshotstove.com/2015/07/26/one-eyed-toronto-maple-leafs-reporter-is-king/

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NHL Transactions / Derek Stepan signed - 6 years, $6.5M per year
« on: Yesterday at 10:04:55 AM »


15
Steve Simmons said this on The Reporters so hopefully he actually was told it by someone in the know and not by his hotdog sources:


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