Kin
New member
This came up in the gameday thread and I thought I'd take a little look at the numbers to see if there's any appreciable evidence to suggest that the Maple Leafs have a worse than expected record at the ACC.
What I did is I took the Leafs' home record over the last seven seasons and compared it to the home records of the seven teams whose records most closely matched the Leafs in each season. The difference between the Leafs and these teams never exceeded three points and only totaled 5 points over the five seasons. In the case of more than one team that closely matched the Leafs record, I went with the team with the better home record so as to give the theory the benefit of the doubt.
Anyways, the results were:
Toronto: 135-108-44 for an average of 43.4 points a year and a points winning percentage of .530
The Closest Comparable Teams: 144-107-36 for an average of 46.3 points a year and a points winning percentage of .564
Anyways, if there is an effect, it's almost impossible to see. The closest comparable teams to the Leafs were slightly better than the Leafs over those 7 years(averaging 84.3 points per year as opposed to the Leafs 83.7) so the three point gap seems fairly insignificant. The Leafs had some fairly terrific home records in their better years(26-12-3 in 05-06) so clearly they're possible of playing very well in front of their home fans.
What I did is I took the Leafs' home record over the last seven seasons and compared it to the home records of the seven teams whose records most closely matched the Leafs in each season. The difference between the Leafs and these teams never exceeded three points and only totaled 5 points over the five seasons. In the case of more than one team that closely matched the Leafs record, I went with the team with the better home record so as to give the theory the benefit of the doubt.
Anyways, the results were:
Toronto: 135-108-44 for an average of 43.4 points a year and a points winning percentage of .530
The Closest Comparable Teams: 144-107-36 for an average of 46.3 points a year and a points winning percentage of .564
Anyways, if there is an effect, it's almost impossible to see. The closest comparable teams to the Leafs were slightly better than the Leafs over those 7 years(averaging 84.3 points per year as opposed to the Leafs 83.7) so the three point gap seems fairly insignificant. The Leafs had some fairly terrific home records in their better years(26-12-3 in 05-06) so clearly they're possible of playing very well in front of their home fans.