Bates said:
... but I have read a few lawyers and law professors who think this will end in a conditional sentence and I don't think that makes sense???
If he's guilty, it doesn't.
BUT if they didn't have a solid case to prove that guilt - it's flimsy "he said he said" stuff with few witnesses from 25 years ago, etc then they'd have to explore some sort of plea bargain with a lighter sentence to get any conviction at all. Remember, the Crown has to be able to prove their case.
Although conditional sentence has been mentioned in reports, it's seems quite remote conjecture to me that that is what will transpire:
Graham James could avoid more jail tim
McGillivray says a defence lawyer could argue James hasn't been convicted of any crimes since that period in the 1980s and '90s.
Crown attorney Colleen McDuff has said she will be seeking penitentiary time, but McGillivray says that's not a given.
"What the judge could do is consider the time that has passed since that period in the accused's life and say, 'Well, look, we've had 20 years ? where we've had no similar conduct, so we're not looking at specific deterrence and we're not looking at rehabilitation, because that's all done.'
"A lighter sentence could include no jail time. It could include a conditional sentence."
There is no shortage of people calling for a harsh sentence.
A defence lawyer may well try to make that argument. The judge may consider some of that argument as legit because based upon the facts known to us, it may well be legit. The important thing that I derive from that exchange above is that
the Crown is seeking jail time. They didn't have to bargain it away to get a guilty plea so the judge has the option to send him to jail. The Crown wouldn't push for jail time if a deal had been made to limit jail time to get the plea.
Something else they didn't say and may have come up with the Kennedy case: they may have asked for a full confession of all his crimes to arrive at the original sentence they did for those crimes. If he lied to them back then and said Kennedy and the other victim were the only ones, then the judge could really let him have it in this go round. They can argue "how do we know he's not lying about others since? How do we know he's really rehabilitated? He lied to us to get a light sentence the last time."
If James is caught doing that, they'll lock him up for a long time.
Lastly, in a high profile case such as this is, the judge is going to be careful. If he has any hopes to advance higher up in the courts, he can't afford to mess this sentence up.