Idiocracy

[CarltonTheBear]

Biden is leading in Arizona, to the point where Fox has called it for him. I still think there's a realistic chance the rest of the votes in Michigan and Pennsylvania lean Biden. Don't think this is over yet but yeah even if Biden wins it's a shame it's this close and it looks like the Dems might not win the Senate.

 

[Kin]

I said earlier that it looked like 2016 all over again and now it's starting to look like 2000 over again which, in its own way, would be much worse.

 

[L K]

So the election isn?t over and Trump is being a complete dick.  What a shock

 

[Kin]

Holy Moly, what a poop show.

 

[L K]

I like how the immigrants from Cuba are so afraid of public healthcare because they think of Fidel that they are fine with a guy who wants to dictate that people shouldn?t have the right to have votes count. 

 

[herman]

https://twitter.com/hannahhycho/status/1323851835199811587

 

[L K]

Biden now leads in Wisconsin and Michigan but they are still insanely close.

 

[herman]

There's only one direction a landslide could go in an effectively gerrymandered landscape.
https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1323981584719032321

 

[CarltonTheBear]

Biden has pulled ahead very slightly in Michigan and Wisconsin. If those hold, as well as Arizona and Neveda, it won't matter if he wins Pennsylvania (which he still could definitely win).

Neveda is very close for a state that Clinton won though. They've already said more votes won't be announced until tomorrow morning so it's incredibly unlikely this is finished today.

 

[L K]

Biden has pulled ahead very slightly in Michigan and Wisconsin. If those hold, as well as Arizona and Neveda, it won't matter if he wins Pennsylvania (which he still could definitely win).

Neveda is very close for a state that Clinton won though. They've already said more votes won't be announced until tomorrow morning so it's incredibly unlikely this is finished today.

I'm very confused at that.  Why are they having a 24 hour delay in counting votes?

 

[herman]

https://twitter.com/joesonka/status/1322246900779831308

https://twitter.com/emmacaustin/status/1323433428730236929
High schoolers here to save us

 

[herman]

Biden has pulled ahead very slightly in Michigan and Wisconsin. If those hold, as well as Arizona and Neveda, it won't matter if he wins Pennsylvania (which he still could definitely win).

Neveda is very close for a state that Clinton won though. They've already said more votes won't be announced until tomorrow morning so it's incredibly unlikely this is finished today.

I'm very confused at that.  Why are they having a 24 hour delay in counting votes?

Some states have rules around mail-in votes being counted only after Election Day polls have closed.

 

[L K]

Biden has pulled ahead very slightly in Michigan and Wisconsin. If those hold, as well as Arizona and Neveda, it won't matter if he wins Pennsylvania (which he still could definitely win).

Neveda is very close for a state that Clinton won though. They've already said more votes won't be announced until tomorrow morning so it's incredibly unlikely this is finished today.

I'm very confused at that.  Why are they having a 24 hour delay in counting votes?

Some states have rules around mail-in votes being counted only after Election Day polls have closed.

I get that.  Today is Wednesday though.  Why wait more than 24 hours after the polls close to count/announce them on Thursday.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

I get that.  Today is Wednesday though.  Why wait more than 24 hours after the polls close to count/announce them on Thursday.

Yeah it's going to be really frustrating if Michigan and Wisconsin count enough votes to call them for Biden but we need to wait until tomorrow morning for Nevada to clinch it.

Granted not as frustrating as Trump winning but still.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

Georgia not entirely ruled out either. Everyone's favourite needle tiled slightly in Biden's favourite late last night and it's still like that.

 

[rdowdall]

Someone check my math for me.  If Biden gets Nevada, Wisconsin, and Michigan, he wins right?

 

[louisstamos]

Someone check my math for me.  If Biden gets Nevada, Wisconsin, and Michigan, he wins right?

+ Arizona, which hasn't been necessarily called everywhere.  But yes - with all those, he wins.

 

[bustaheims]

Things right now point to Biden eking out a win - like, hitting the 270 mark exactly with Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Maine's 2 state votes and one of their congressional districts. Hopefully, he can also flip at least one of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. Without that, we're looking at the tightest election in modern history (by the electoral college, at least - Biden has a significant lead in the popular vote).

Quite frankly, unless Biden sweeps all three potential swing states, it's going to be a narrow margin of EC victory - which, historically, have tended to favour Republicans - Democrats tend to win by significant margins, with the last Democratic president to win by less than 100 electoral college votes being Jimmy Carter. Meanwhile, the Republicans have won 3 elections since by that narrow a margin, and could potentially win a 4th tonight. Of course, between 1892 (when the electoral college expanded to 444 votes from 401 in the previous 2 elections, and 369 or less in all elections preceding that) and 1976, there had only been 2 other elections decided by that narrow a margin.

 

[L K]

The BIG fricking problem is it is going to be two years of gross obstruction from the Senate even if Biden wins.

Michigan - the Republicans currently lead although it's close and the Dems had the incumbent.
Maine - Susan Collins is around the 50% mark to win re-election.  Maine has ranked choice ballot but the votes from the two independents (one left, one Trump lover don't close the gap so far)
North Carolina - Tillis is up by 100K votes with 94-95% reporting
Alaska - a lock for the Republicans
Georgia - will get at least 1 of the two seats

So Mitch McConnell gets at least another two years as Senate Majority leader to fuck over the country.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

The BIG fricking problem is it is going to be two years of gross obstruction from the Senate even if Biden wins.

Yeah I was really hoping one of Graham or Collins would get voted out. Graham seemed a little unlikely but I thought Gideon had a decent shot of getting Collins out especially since Maine goes blue. That's disappointing.

Also thought Ossoff was gaining a lot of momentum to bounce Perdue, but so far no dice there. And I could be wrong but the Warnkock/Loeffler race is now going to a run-off at a later date, and considering how close that was despite there being a 3rd GOP candidate it feels unlikely that the Dems take that, so could be no gains in Georgia.