Hobbes said:Soleimani hasn't been hiding. He's been in plain sight for at least the last half dozen years and could have been taken out with minimal casualties pretty much any day of the week. And if taking him out was OBL level necessary, the number of casualties really wouldn't have been all that much of a concern. They would happily have hit a commuter train full of civilians if they'd known with 100% certainty that OBL was on board.
So far nobody in the Pentagon has indicated that there was any unusual or imminent threat that necessitated assassinating Soleimani right this instant. Nobody has attempted to spin it as "we just got word of something and had to act before he carried it out," and anyone who thinks that one of the largest armies in the world would have its plans particularly disrupted by one person's death doesn't know anything at all about how such operations are planned within a military structure/hierarchy. Assassinating Ike a week or two before the Normandy landings wouldn't have changed the operation in the slightest.
It has been pretty obvious that Trump has wanted an ace in the hole plan for his re-election and knows that a president-at-war stands an extremely high chance of winning a 2nd term even if they have extremely low approval ratings. The USA has a history of it, and as you can see from my earlier post, he's directly considered the strategy when he accused Obama of using it 8-9 years ago. He's talked about it on other occasions as well. His moves over the last 3 years set the stage for it perfectly. He pulled out of the nuclear oversight deal without any real justification (none of the other international participants felt that Iran was violating the terms and up until 3 days ago when Iran said that they now consider the treaty null and void, all evidence seems to suggest that they adhered to it). He has constantly used belligerent rhetoric when referring to them. He has disengaged/disentangled most of the US forces in the region from what they were doing in Iran, in spite of it being against the advice of just about any military or political advisor and has left the US' allies in precarious positions. He's been setting the stage for this for 3 years now.
Why assassinate Soleimani right now? Two reasons: it stands a very good chance of kicking off escalations in violence that he can parlay into a limited war with Iran in time to give him the necessary boost at the ballot box that will push enough "patriotic" undecided voters to his side; and it's also perfect timing to distract from the impeachment fiasco/proceedings in the Senate. Cable news (and the American public) have the attention span of a fruit fly so he's now able to manipulate the news cycle for the next little while pretty much at will. Nobody will focus on the sham that's about to be perpetrated by McConnel, et al, when they can be distracted with pretty video of cruise missiles being fired from destroyers, or jets taking off from assorted carriers.
It sickens me to think how many lives are likely to be lost over the coming months simply because this piece of garbage wants to win re-election no matter what the cost.
Hear, hear!