Leafs @ Stars - Apr. 7th, 8:30pm - SNO, Fan 590

[Zee]

Besides the two goals, I noticed Matthews more prominently than usual defensively last night, not that he isn?t always solid defensively.

I actually think that Matthews defensive contributions predict the Leafs winning, more than his goal scoring.  I took a look at Matthews +/- for the season and correlated that to loses.  I know that +/- isn't the greatest stat, but I just wanted to do something quick and dirty to see how that number correlates to the Leafs winning or losing.  Here are the numbers:

Loses
Oct 18 - Rangers: 0
Oct 22 - Sharks: -2
Oct 23 - Pens: 0
Oct 25 - Canes: -1
Nov 8 - Kings: -2
Nov 20 - Pens: -1
Dec 4 - Wild: -2
Dev 5 - Jets: -1
Dec 9 - Lightning: -2
Jan 12 - Coyotes: 1
Jan 19 - Rangers: -2
Feb 10 - Flames: -1
Feb 12 - Canucks: -1
Feb 19 - Blues: -2
Feb 21 - Canadiens: -1
Mar 2 - Sabres: -2
Mar 5 - Canucks: -1
Mar 10 - Coyotes: 0
Mar 13 - Sabres: -2
Mar 26 - Canadiens: -1
April 5 - Panthers: -2

Wins
Oct 30 - Det: -1
Nov 18 - Ranger: -1
Jan 22 - Islanders: -1
Jan 26 - Ducks: -1
Mar 29 - Bruins: -1

Only once this year, have the Leafs lost when Matthews is a positive player, and only 4 times this year have the Leafs managed to win the game when Matthews is a - player.  I think that if a deeper dive was done, it would show that on the nights where Matthews isn't as effective defensively, those are the nights where the Leafs are going to struggle to win, regardless of if he scores.

I mean +/- just shows that Matthews get more 5 on 5 time than other players on the Leafs.  On games the Leafs win it's logical he'd be a + and vice versa.  Not sure it can correlate with how well he's playing defensively in that game.

 

[azzurri63]

Had a party to attend only watched the 1st period. Looks like they dominated and game shouldn't of even gone to OT. Having said that what a night for #34 and the winner was nothing short of spectacular.

 

[Frank E]

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

 

[Zee]

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

He could have done better on the first goal, but the last 2 were pretty much no chance for him.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

2nd and 3rd goals (PP one-timer and then a disgusting deflection by Pavelski) were hardly goals you'd put much if any blame on the goalie for. First goal wasn't something you want to see your goalie let in but it was also just a weird/fluky play.

All in all he played fine. The crappy save percentage is more indicative of the Stars just not getting very many shots in the game..

 

[Guilt Trip]

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

He could have done better on the first goal, but the last 2 were pretty much no chance for him.

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

2nd and 3rd goals (PP one-timer and then a disgusting deflection by Pavelski) were hardly goals you'd put much if any blame on the goalie for. First goal wasn't something you want to see your goalie let in but it was also just a weird/fluky play.

All in all he played fine. The crappy save percentage is more indicative of the Stars just not getting very many shots in the game..

Pretty much. Didn't like the first goal but he was solid and looks like old Jack. Made some timely saves.

 

[ZBBM]

Not to be wet-blanketish but looking at the replay several times that was some pah-thetic defense on the OT goals by the 2 Dallas forwards and the third guy too (didn't catch the numbers).  They were all exhausted, to judge from the tape.

Stiil, it was awesome.

Seguin was absolutely gassed and wanted off and I have no idea what he was doing on the Matthews zone entry, it looked like he thought he could change for a second and then had to quickly turn and at that point he didn't stand a chance of defending Matthews. Pavelski and Suter were fresh off the bench for the first time in OT and just stood there.

They should hang their heads in shame.  They waved their sticks weakly in Matthews' general direction and that was it.

 

[ZBBM]

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

He could have done better on the first goal, but the last 2 were pretty much no chance for him.

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

2nd and 3rd goals (PP one-timer and then a disgusting deflection by Pavelski) were hardly goals you'd put much if any blame on the goalie for. First goal wasn't something you want to see your goalie let in but it was also just a weird/fluky play.

All in all he played fine. The crappy save percentage is more indicative of the Stars just not getting very many shots in the game..

Pretty much. Didn't like the first goal but he was solid and looks like old Jack. Made some timely saves.

^

Overall the team D was quite good IMO.

 

[rdowdall]

Besides the two goals, I noticed Matthews more prominently than usual defensively last night, not that he isn?t always solid defensively.

I actually think that Matthews defensive contributions predict the Leafs winning, more than his goal scoring.  I took a look at Matthews +/- for the season and correlated that to loses.  I know that +/- isn't the greatest stat, but I just wanted to do something quick and dirty to see how that number correlates to the Leafs winning or losing.  Here are the numbers:

Loses
Oct 18 - Rangers: 0
Oct 22 - Sharks: -2
Oct 23 - Pens: 0
Oct 25 - Canes: -1
Nov 8 - Kings: -2
Nov 20 - Pens: -1
Dec 4 - Wild: -2
Dev 5 - Jets: -1
Dec 9 - Lightning: -2
Jan 12 - Coyotes: 1
Jan 19 - Rangers: -2
Feb 10 - Flames: -1
Feb 12 - Canucks: -1
Feb 19 - Blues: -2
Feb 21 - Canadiens: -1
Mar 2 - Sabres: -2
Mar 5 - Canucks: -1
Mar 10 - Coyotes: 0
Mar 13 - Sabres: -2
Mar 26 - Canadiens: -1
April 5 - Panthers: -2

Wins
Oct 30 - Det: -1
Nov 18 - Ranger: -1
Jan 22 - Islanders: -1
Jan 26 - Ducks: -1
Mar 29 - Bruins: -1

Only once this year, have the Leafs lost when Matthews is a positive player, and only 4 times this year have the Leafs managed to win the game when Matthews is a - player.  I think that if a deeper dive was done, it would show that on the nights where Matthews isn't as effective defensively, those are the nights where the Leafs are going to struggle to win, regardless of if he scores.

I mean +/- just shows that Matthews get more 5 on 5 time than other players on the Leafs.  On games the Leafs win it's logical he'd be a + and vice versa.  Not sure it can correlate with how well he's playing defensively in that game.

Deeper dive it is then....

 

[Guilt Trip]

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

He could have done better on the first goal, but the last 2 were pretty much no chance for him.

I didn't get a chance to watch this one either...any thoughts on Campbell's showing with the SV% .833 last night?

2nd and 3rd goals (PP one-timer and then a disgusting deflection by Pavelski) were hardly goals you'd put much if any blame on the goalie for. First goal wasn't something you want to see your goalie let in but it was also just a weird/fluky play.

All in all he played fine. The crappy save percentage is more indicative of the Stars just not getting very many shots in the game..

Pretty much. Didn't like the first goal but he was solid and looks like old Jack. Made some timely saves.

^

Overall the team D was quite good IMO.

Liljegren/Gio > Holl/Gio