Cons:
- Age and Mileage: Yes he hasn't missed a game since 2009, plus extra-curricular tournaments/Olympics, but that doesn't mean he won't ever miss a game
- Term: the third year overlaps with the season we're paying all 3 of the Kids; but the contract is very tradeable should Marleau choose to 'retire'.
- Value: That's a lot of dollars for declining performance; paying for the name, essentially.
Pros:
- Speed and skill style of play; still very speedy relative to the increasingly younger and faster league
- He's basically JvR+: former 2OA pick, LH shot, big, fast, scores from net front in a variety of ways, doesn't play hard on the body, but more defensively responsible, can take draws well.
- Pushes better wingers lower on the lineup; we're still insisting on Martin eating up a spot, so it can only get so much better
- He has all the intangibles Martin can't cover: how to be a skilled star in the league, preparation for longevity and durability with a skill game, on-ice leadership, team loyalty
- Might be exactly the right type of leader to match Matthews' personality:
Roenick has criticized Marleau in the past ? mostly for a lack of heart and emotion. The two were teammates for two seasons before Roenick retired in 2009.
I talked with Marleau today about his relationship with Roenick, now a TV analyst in addition to author.
?He?s got his own agenda,? the 33-year-old former Sharks captain said. ?He?s saying stuff so people watch. I understand that. I don?t have to like it or agree with it, but he?s trying to get viewers like you?re trying to get people to read the paper. I don?t take it personally or anything like that.?
As far as the perception that he lacks emotion, Marleau addressed that, too.
?I can see how people would think that because I?m very stoic,? he said. ?I tried to keep it controlled, but believe me, the emotions are running. Sometimes I think if you just show emotion to show it, you?re draining yourself and it?s not really for anybody?s benefit.?
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Responses to the Cons:
- Age and Mileage: The Leafs as a group were unusually durable, and I suspect their focus on rest and recovery via their sports science department had a lot to do with that -- e.g. Hunwick was able to rehab up to speed, seeing what Rielly did in the playoffs on a high ankle sprain
- Term: the Cap hit / (actual salary - signing bonus) ratio is heavily stacked to help another team reach the floor for a minimal spend.
- Value: We have a lot of LTIR space that went unused; if you have it, might as well leverage it while your primary core is cheap
Ultimately, Marleau is not a core player on the Leafs, and while he's expensive, we have money lying around. It brings more balance to the scoring side of the equation, by either pushing top-9 players into the bottom-3, or giving more of a safety net to turning JvR/Bozak into depth elsewhere. I think Lou is accurate in saying this was a unique opportunity to hire a contributing on-ice mentor for the core. Performance bonus overages will get pushed to next season, but that's something that can push into our open cap space the following season when Lupul, whatever is left of the 3 UFAers, and Gleason, etc. come off the books.
If the move pays off, it could pay off handsomely; if it doesn't work out, the only real possible reason would be injury and that in itself has a built-in solution.