I think the Kessel years where the Leafs would get out to a hot start and then bottom out near the end of the year have left me feeling like that could happen at any time.
At no point do I feel like the Leafs are assured of anything, so I don't feel overly confident in saying that the Leafs are going to achieve any measure of success.
Looking at things objectively, they have been playing better of late in that their game has more pace and it looks like they are skating again. I felt the team skated very well in the Tamp and Sharks games. The had a bit of a letdown in the Canucks game, but I though they skated well again in the Columbus game and the Sens game. I think that trend of skating well in games is a good thing.
If you factor in that a lot of their goal scoring woe's are probably tied to slumps that the players should eventually break out of then the goals should come back, but only if the slumps break. I think at the start of the year we were seeing Matthews, JvR and Kadri all on hot streaks at the same time, so that inflated the numbers a bit. JvR has cooled a bit, and Kadri is downright frozen. Matthews had been pretty consistent, but even he has gone a couple of games now without a point. Marner and Nylander sort of break in and out of these mini slumps to supplement the offense every so often.
I think the strength of this team is that the have 4 players that can break a game wide open for them in Matthews, Marner, Nylander, and the emergence of Reilly. In that sense, they have 4 players that can break a slump and turn a losing streak around by themselves. This is something they didn't have during the Kessel years. They also have a goalie who can win games all by himself with a little more consistency than the goalies they had during the Kessel years.
The fear is still there though that the chips aren't going to fall in to place for them. That players won't rise to the occasion or that the wrong decisions will get made for stubborn reasons, and that they will tumble down the standings as a result.
Since 1999, there has never been a season where the Leafs have made the playoffs and the Sens haven't. I'd like that to be this year, but I am not so sure it's going to be.