Standings- position

[bustaheims]

Updated.

Number of points gained by Leafs or lost by an opponent to eliminate them from being able to pass the Leafs:

Florida - 2
Tampa - 7
Carolina - 7
Buffalo - 8
Winnipeg - 9
Philly - 10
New Jersey - 11
Washington - 13
NYI - 13
NYR - 13

 

[L K]

Combined the North-East division this year has 4 of 5 teams in the playoffs at this point. 

NorthEast  107-60-25 - 239 points  - 1.245 PPG
Atlantic      99-75-21  - 219 points  - 1.123 PPG
SouthEast  84-96-14  - 182 points  - 0.938 PPG

 

[Strangelove]

So if I were a betting man I'd wager that we're going to play Montreal in the first round. Which is pretty cool.

 

[nutman]

So if I were a betting man I'd wager that we're going to play Montreal in the first round. Which is pretty cool.

Bring em on. I would rather Boston though, we owe them some losses.

 

[ZBBM]

I think we're perfectly positioned going in.  No pressure, no expectations.  We could upset anyone.

 

[maplesyrup]

I think we're perfectly positioned going in.  No pressure, no expectations.  We could upset anyone.

^ This ^

 

[leafplasma]

Only 5 teams in the entire NHL currently have more points than the Leafs.

 

[cw]

Leafs magic number by team currently not in the top 8 in the East (to eliminate that team from passing the Leafs in the standings): 
NEW JERSEY      11
PHILADELPHIA    10
WINNIPEG            9
CAROLINA            7
TAMPA BAY          7
BUFFALO              6
FLORIDA              2

 

[Zee]

Leafs magic number by team currently not in the top 8 in the East (to eliminate that team from passing the Leafs in the standings):
NEW JERSEY      11
PHILADELPHIA    10
WINNIPEG            9
CAROLINA            7
TAMPA BAY          7
BUFFALO              6
FLORIDA              2

Wouldn't the Jersey number be 10?  The most number of points they can finish with is 58 if they go 11-0.  If the Leafs win 5, giving them 58 as well, they have the tie-breaker based on ROW.

 

[Kin]

Wouldn't the Jersey number be 10?  The most number of points they can finish with is 58 if they go 11-0.  If the Leafs win 5, giving them 58 as well, they have the tie-breaker based on ROW.

That would assume, though, that those 5 wins were ROW. It's unlikely but you have to factor in the possibility that the Leafs win a bunch of games in OT/SO.

 

[Zee]

Wouldn't the Jersey number be 10?  The most number of points they can finish with is 58 if they go 11-0.  If the Leafs win 5, giving them 58 as well, they have the tie-breaker based on ROW.

That would assume, though, that those 5 wins were ROW. It's unlikely but you have to factor in the possibility that the Leafs win a bunch of games in OT/SO.

Highly unlikely because Jersey would have to win 10 out of the 11 in regulation, with the Leafs only winning 1 in regulation of the 5.  I guess mathematically you have to leave it at 11 then, however slim that possibility is.

 

[pmrules]

Only 5 teams in the entire NHL currently have more points than the Leafs.

The thing that impresses me even more than that, is where this team stands in terms of ROW's - Only Pittsburgh and Chicago have more than us in the entire league.  ROW's is what matters in playoff games!

However, Montreal is tied with us (with a GOH) and Boston is right behind...and they are our most likely first round opponents. 

Nevertheless, I'm proud of this team. 

 

[cw]

Leafs magic number by team currently not in the top 8 in the East (to eliminate that team from passing the Leafs in the standings):
NEW JERSEY      11
PHILADELPHIA    10
WINNIPEG            9
CAROLINA            7
TAMPA BAY          7
BUFFALO              6
FLORIDA              2

Wouldn't the Jersey number be 10?  The most number of points they can finish with is 58 if they go 11-0.  If the Leafs win 5, giving them 58 as well, they have the tie-breaker based on ROW.

If the Leafs went winless and the Devils won every game in regulation or OT, then they would tie on ROW. Head to head, the Leafs have won both but only one counts. On April 15th, the Devils would have to win that one against the Leafs in regulation. If that happened, the the goal differential kicks in. Right now, Leafs are +12 while the Devils are -14. So the chances of the Devils overcoming goal differential are very, very slim.

BUT mathematically, it's still barely possible. Therefore, the magic number remains at 11.

Now if the Leafs beat the Rangers and the Devils lose their next game in regulation, the Leafs could gobble up 5 of those 11 magic numbers - because the Leafs would seal the tiebreaker mathematically and that alone would lower the magic number by 1.

Realistically, the magic number is 10 but mathematically, it's still 11 due to an extremely slim possibility.

 

[bustaheims]

Leafs magic number by team currently not in the top 8 in the East (to eliminate that team from passing the Leafs in the standings):
NEW JERSEY      11
PHILADELPHIA    10
WINNIPEG            9
CAROLINA            7
TAMPA BAY          7
BUFFALO              6
FLORIDA              2

Way to steal my thunder.

EDIT: Also, the magic number for Buffalo is 8 - Buffalo maxes out at 56 and the Leafs current have 48. 56 - 48 = 8.

 

[Kaberle15]

@DownGoesBrown
If NHL playoffs started today, the original 6 would all play each other. Mtl - NYR, Bos - Tor, Chi - Det.

 

[Zee]

@DownGoesBrown
If NHL playoffs started today, the original 6 would all play each other. Mtl - NYR, Bos - Tor, Chi - Det.

Wow, that would be something.

 

[AvroArrow]

I want Boston in the first round.

 

[Leaflifer]

I am also in the camp that the Leafs aren't an automatic first round exit (presumably because they have been out of it for so long it's a given)

If they go in hot and healthy they could certainly do some damage.

My biggest concern going in is that they struggled to put 60 minutes in a night, even though they won many of those games. That stuff doesn't fly in the post season.

 

[bustaheims]

Updated.

Number of points gained by Leafs or lost by an opponent to eliminate them from being able to pass the Leafs:

Florida - 2
Carolina - 5
Buffalo - 6
Tampa - 7
Philly - 8
Winnipeg - 9
New Jersey - 11
Washington - 13
NYI - 13
NYR - 13

 

[TML fan]

I want Boston in the first round.

The Leafs have beaten them once in their last 8 meetings, and they barely hung onto that one. Do you really believe they are going to win 4 of their next 7?

I'm resigned to the fact that they will likely face Boston. I just don't want to see them get embarrassed.