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Steve Stamkos?

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louisstamos said:
TBLeafer said:
louisstamos said:
TBLeafer said:
Now add Matthews, Marner, Nylander as rookies and Stamkos.  What do you think that added firepower and puck possession will do to our 2016-17 team goals against average?

You realize that only 1 of those rookie players have ever played an NHL game.  How do we know that any of them will have more firepower than, say, P.A Parenteau?

Draft position matters and adding Stamkos is excellent insurance against one of them potentially flopping. 

Rielly is a top five pick.  He projected just fine.  Nylander had a just fine .PPG as an 8th OA pick during his time up. 

Marner made OHL history and tied CHL history with Brad Richards.

Matthews performed better than Eichel in the US, has a season playing adult pro, looked right at home in the World Championships for team USA, especially in the semi-final game against Canada and has a spot playing in the World Cup against all the league elite, so he'll be good and primed.

Nail Yakupov was a 1st overall pick, and looks like a decidedly average winger.  Who would you rather have at this point - Yak, who went 1st, or Rielly who went 5th?

Eric Gudbranson was a 3rd overall pick, and went ahead of Johansen, Skinner and Tarasenko.  If draft position matters so much, shouldn't Gudbranson be the best of the bunch?

A LOT of players don't live up to their draft hype - whether reasonable or unreasonable (we had that whole debate about Kadri a few months back).  A lot can be made through scouting, but the NHL is a different monster so it's impossible to know until they're actually there.  Why put the cart ahead of the horse?  It's not just if one of them flame out...it's what happens if more than one flames out?  Then it's Sundin and no wingers again.

I go back and forth on the Stamkos bandwagon as well. I'm currently on it - but everyone here are making an excellent points.  My one counter would be that players like a Duncan Keith can be found outside of the top 10.  Duncan Keith himself was a 2nd round pick.  Ditto Subban, Karlsson, Brent Burns, John Klingberg.  It does require really, really good scouting, strong and patient development, and a LOT of luck.  But not impossible.

Frankly I'm going on trusting that we have a good Hunter, with a really good pedigree for these things.
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
bustaheims said:
TBLeafer said:
The year before Toews and Kane:

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2006 - Just 2 more points than the Leafs last season.

The year of Toews and Kane's rookie seasons

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2007 - BUBBLE TEAM!

Looks like they were very similar defensively to Toronto, before adding Towes and Kane. Hmmmmm

Next season, we're already adding more top rookie prospects than Toews and Kane.

And you know what they didn't do until their rookie prospect showed they could be high quality NHL players? Commit themselves to expensive, long-term contracts. If Matthew/Marner/Nylander/etc can prove themselves to be high quality NHLers, then the team can start to considering investing in free agents. Not before. The Leafs may be adding more top prospects next season, but they're still just prospects. They're not NHL players yet.

You're jumping to the halfway point in the race before the team has even crossed the starting line.

No you aren't.  You're getting the youngest NHL star to ever hit free agency and can continue to project your rebuild from there.

So in your mind, why didn't the Leafs win a cup with Sundin?

Luck and the hockey gods weren't on our side vs. Carolina, a team we should have beaten.
 
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
bustaheims said:
TBLeafer said:
The year before Toews and Kane:

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2006 - Just 2 more points than the Leafs last season.

The year of Toews and Kane's rookie seasons

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2007 - BUBBLE TEAM!

Looks like they were very similar defensively to Toronto, before adding Towes and Kane. Hmmmmm

Next season, we're already adding more top rookie prospects than Toews and Kane.

And you know what they didn't do until their rookie prospect showed they could be high quality NHL players? Commit themselves to expensive, long-term contracts. If Matthew/Marner/Nylander/etc can prove themselves to be high quality NHLers, then the team can start to considering investing in free agents. Not before. The Leafs may be adding more top prospects next season, but they're still just prospects. They're not NHL players yet.

You're jumping to the halfway point in the race before the team has even crossed the starting line.

No you aren't.  You're getting the youngest NHL star to ever hit free agency and can continue to project your rebuild from there.

So in your mind, why didn't the Leafs win a cup with Sundin?

Luck and the hockey gods weren't on our side vs. Carolina, a team we should have beaten.

That Carolina team got smoked by the Detroit Red Wings. So that Leafs team that lost to the Carolina team due to luck was better than that Detroit Red Wings team that had 9 Hall of Famers on it? 
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
bustaheims said:
TBLeafer said:
The year before Toews and Kane:

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2006 - Just 2 more points than the Leafs last season.

The year of Toews and Kane's rookie seasons

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2007 - BUBBLE TEAM!

Looks like they were very similar defensively to Toronto, before adding Towes and Kane. Hmmmmm

Next season, we're already adding more top rookie prospects than Toews and Kane.

And you know what they didn't do until their rookie prospect showed they could be high quality NHL players? Commit themselves to expensive, long-term contracts. If Matthew/Marner/Nylander/etc can prove themselves to be high quality NHLers, then the team can start to considering investing in free agents. Not before. The Leafs may be adding more top prospects next season, but they're still just prospects. They're not NHL players yet.

You're jumping to the halfway point in the race before the team has even crossed the starting line.

No you aren't.  You're getting the youngest NHL star to ever hit free agency and can continue to project your rebuild from there.

So in your mind, why didn't the Leafs win a cup with Sundin?

Luck and the hockey gods weren't on our side vs. Carolina, a team we should have beaten.

That Carolina team got smoked by the Detroit Red Wings. So that Leafs team that lost to the Carolina team due to luck was better than that Detroit Red Wings team that had 9 Hall of Famers on it?

I wouldn't at all say that's the case, but they should have at least advanced to the SCF, something I haven't seen yet in my lifetime of 38 years.
 
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
bustaheims said:
TBLeafer said:
The year before Toews and Kane:

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2006 - Just 2 more points than the Leafs last season.

The year of Toews and Kane's rookie seasons

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2007 - BUBBLE TEAM!

Looks like they were very similar defensively to Toronto, before adding Towes and Kane. Hmmmmm

Next season, we're already adding more top rookie prospects than Toews and Kane.

And you know what they didn't do until their rookie prospect showed they could be high quality NHL players? Commit themselves to expensive, long-term contracts. If Matthew/Marner/Nylander/etc can prove themselves to be high quality NHLers, then the team can start to considering investing in free agents. Not before. The Leafs may be adding more top prospects next season, but they're still just prospects. They're not NHL players yet.

You're jumping to the halfway point in the race before the team has even crossed the starting line.

No you aren't.  You're getting the youngest NHL star to ever hit free agency and can continue to project your rebuild from there.

So in your mind, why didn't the Leafs win a cup with Sundin?

Luck and the hockey gods weren't on our side vs. Carolina, a team we should have beaten.

That Carolina team got smoked by the Detroit Red Wings. So that Leafs team that lost to the Carolina team due to luck was better than that Detroit Red Wings team that had 9 Hall of Famers on it?

I wouldn't at all say that's the case, but they should have at least advanced to the SCF, something I haven't seen yet in my lifetime of 38 years.

The reason I asked why you thought the Leafs didn't win a cup with Sundin, is because adding Stamkos is like adding a Sundin.  If the Leafs couldn't build a team around Sundin to reliably compete for the cup year in and year out through trades and UFA acquisitions in that era, then how is it going to be easier now?  In that era, pretty much every high profiled player ended up one of 6 teams (Toronto, New York, Philadelphia, Colorado, Detroit, Dallas).

So one time with Sundin the Leafs almost made it to the Stanley cup final.  What would you rather have, that situation, or one where for a string of 10 to 15 years, the Leafs are a team that has a legitimate shot at winning the cup? 
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
bustaheims said:
TBLeafer said:
The year before Toews and Kane:

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2006 - Just 2 more points than the Leafs last season.

The year of Toews and Kane's rookie seasons

https://www.nhl.com/standings/2007 - BUBBLE TEAM!

Looks like they were very similar defensively to Toronto, before adding Towes and Kane. Hmmmmm

Next season, we're already adding more top rookie prospects than Toews and Kane.

And you know what they didn't do until their rookie prospect showed they could be high quality NHL players? Commit themselves to expensive, long-term contracts. If Matthew/Marner/Nylander/etc can prove themselves to be high quality NHLers, then the team can start to considering investing in free agents. Not before. The Leafs may be adding more top prospects next season, but they're still just prospects. They're not NHL players yet.

You're jumping to the halfway point in the race before the team has even crossed the starting line.

No you aren't.  You're getting the youngest NHL star to ever hit free agency and can continue to project your rebuild from there.

So in your mind, why didn't the Leafs win a cup with Sundin?

Luck and the hockey gods weren't on our side vs. Carolina, a team we should have beaten.

That Carolina team got smoked by the Detroit Red Wings. So that Leafs team that lost to the Carolina team due to luck was better than that Detroit Red Wings team that had 9 Hall of Famers on it?

I wouldn't at all say that's the case, but they should have at least advanced to the SCF, something I haven't seen yet in my lifetime of 38 years.

The reason I asked why you thought the Leafs didn't win a cup with Sundin, is because adding Stamkos is like adding a Sundin.  If the Leafs couldn't build a team around Sundin to reliably compete for the cup year in and year out through trades and UFA acquisitions in that era, then how is it going to be easier now?  In that era, pretty much every high profiled player ended up one of 6 teams (Toronto, New York, Philadelphia, Colorado, Detroit, Dallas).

So one time with Sundin the Leafs almost made it to the Stanley cup final.  What would you rather have, that situation, or one where for a string of 10 to 15 years, the Leafs are a team that has a legitimate shot at winning the cup?

Not the same at all though.  Different era and FAR different team build philosophy.  I appreciated the fact that we could compete for the cup and was saddened by the fact that we fell short like 29 other teams do each and every year.

Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.
 
TBLeafer said:
Minnessota has been a playoff team every year SINCE adding Zach Parise...

Quite a similar scenario with how he viewed the Devils and how the Devils viewed him, too...

https://www.nhl.com/news/free-agent-zach-parise-wants-to-stay-with-devils-has-no-desire-to-play-for-rival-rangers/c-634640

In two of those seasons, they snuck in as the lowest seed, and in none of them did they really come close to making out of the 2nd round. They've stagnated. Not exactly a model worth following.
 
bustaheims said:
TBLeafer said:
Minnessota has been a playoff team every year SINCE adding Zach Parise...

Quite a similar scenario with how he viewed the Devils and how the Devils viewed him, too...

https://www.nhl.com/news/free-agent-zach-parise-wants-to-stay-with-devils-has-no-desire-to-play-for-rival-rangers/c-634640

In two of those seasons, they snuck in as the lowest seed, and in none of them did they really come close to making out of the 2nd round. They've stagnated. Not exactly a model worth following.

We have better prospects.
 
TBLeafer said:
We have better prospects.

You can keep repeating that as much as you want, but it still doesn't guarantee we'll have better NHLers. And, Dumba, Brodin, and Granlund were very highly thought of prospects. The Leafs top 3 may be better, but not that significantly. And, the Wild also added Suter that summer. Their experienced NHLers are/were better than what the Leafs have - especially their goaltending, which is/was miles ahead of what the Leafs have.
 
TBLeafer said:
Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.

And we don't know how good our "best" internal players truly are. For all the optimism, the Marlies were good, but it wasn't as if anyone other than Nylander looked like he'd outclassed the AHL. It just doesn't make sense to me to commit to a direction like Stamkos.

The organization has convinced the fans to accept the prospect of a complete rebuild, and 2 years... yes, 2 years in, I'd have a hard time of seeing them sign Stamkos as a sign of anything but compromise to Rogers and Bell. We've all seen the positives that have already come from the tough decision to turn over the organization. I'd be really disappointed to see them abandon a long term strategy of creating a powerhouse in favour of reverting back to trying to be a perennial wild card hopeful.
 
TBLeafer said:
princedpw said:
Somebody posted this link earlier in the thread (thanks to whoever posted it):

https://mapleleafshotstove.com/2016/05/10/steven-stamkos-toronto-maple-leafs-salary-cap/

I think it is the most useful article on a potential Stamkos signing I have seen.  People will *definitely* quibble with the specific numbers, but that isn't where the value lies.  Unlike other articles I've seen, it lays out the Leafs potential salary structure 7 years in the future in a concrete way (and compares with the Blackhawks).  The charts on "Projected TML Salary Cap" closer to the bottom are the ones I thought were useful.  In particular, what other articles fail to do is to explain in detail what might happen in the critical 19-20 season.  In that season, Marner and (let's assume) Matthews will be in their first RFA year and the cap squeeze will hit. 

I don't actually know that I agree with the author's conclusion, but the salary framework is useful.  For instance, the author hopes that Stamkos might be signed for 10 million, and if so, that leaves 30% of the cap for the bottom half of the roster in the 19-20 season, which is similar to what the Blackhawks have now.  If you don't believe signing him for 10 million is plausible, you can see what happens if it is 11 million, for instance.  If you want to include JVR, decrease the estimate further.  If you don't think the estimates for Marner, Nylander, Matthews future salaries are accurate, you can easily up them and see how much cap space is left.  The roster given there doesn't leave room for adding another high-salary defenseman.  Anyway, you can play around a bunch to see what happens if you make different assumptions, which is why I think the chart is useful.

Overall, in my opinion, the chart, and the length of the discussion on this board, reinforces what is probably blazingly obvious to most others:  signing Stamkos leaves one on the knife's edge (and I think the assumption that Stamkos signs for 10 million is optimistic --- as a rule of thumb, free agents sign for substantially more than what is "reasonable").  It's a risk.  If a Stamkos-level defenseman was available, I'd take the risk.  If it were easier to make trades these days in the NHL, I'd also take the risk and I'd simply look for ways to trade one of our high-end forwards for the equivalent defenseman.  Too bad Stamkos isnt a defenseman and trades ARE hard to make and the chances someone wants to trade their #1 defenseman to the Leafs are miniscule and the chances that a #1 defenceman becomes a UFA AND decides to sign with the Leafs are probably small and at any rate difficult to quantify. 

I think I'm mostly going to sit back and trust our management team.  If they sign him for 13 million/year, I'm going to be worried.  If they sign him for 8 million/year, I'll be happy.  (Look at me going out on a limb!)  Neither will happen so I guess I'll probably take it in stride.

Thank you and you're welcome.  ;D

Thanks to you!

Edit: and then saw the post that said maybe pot in posted it too.
 
McGarnagle said:
TBLeafer said:
Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.

And we don't know how good our "best" internal players truly are. For all the optimism, the Marlies were good, but it wasn't as if anyone other than Nylander looked like he'd outclassed the AHL. It just doesn't make sense to me to commit to a direction like Stamkos.

The organization has convinced the fans to accept the prospect of a complete rebuild, and 2 years... yes, 2 years in, I'd have a hard time of seeing them sign Stamkos as a sign of anything but compromise to Rogers and Bell. We've all seen the positives that have already come from the tough decision to turn over the organization. I'd be really disappointed to see them abandon a long term strategy of creating a powerhouse in favour of reverting back to trying to be a perennial wild card hopeful.

This, all day long.
 
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
The reason I asked why you thought the Leafs didn't win a cup with Sundin, is because adding Stamkos is like adding a Sundin.  If the Leafs couldn't build a team around Sundin to reliably compete for the cup year in and year out through trades and UFA acquisitions in that era, then how is it going to be easier now?  In that era, pretty much every high profiled player ended up one of 6 teams (Toronto, New York, Philadelphia, Colorado, Detroit, Dallas).

So one time with Sundin the Leafs almost made it to the Stanley cup final.  What would you rather have, that situation, or one where for a string of 10 to 15 years, the Leafs are a team that has a legitimate shot at winning the cup?

Not the same at all though.  Different era and FAR different team build philosophy.  I appreciated the fact that we could compete for the cup and was saddened by the fact that we fell short like 29 other teams do each and every year.

Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.

This is where our difference in philosophy lies.  I don't want to cheer for a team that competes for a cup.  I want to cheer for a team that when they don't make it to the cup finals, it's considered an upset, or that the Leafs choked by not getting there.  The years that the Sundin lead teams didn't make it to the cup final, it wasn't a choke job.  Most of those years, when the Leafs got beat out, most pundits said "yeah that's about right".  I want to cheer for a truly great team, not a team that is satisfied with making it in to the playoffs and if luck holds might win a cup through an upset.  As a fan, I don't like the fact that for the best possible odds in the draft, the Leafs have to lose now, but I understand that the losing is the best possible way for the Leafs to build a powerhouse of a team. 
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
The reason I asked why you thought the Leafs didn't win a cup with Sundin, is because adding Stamkos is like adding a Sundin.  If the Leafs couldn't build a team around Sundin to reliably compete for the cup year in and year out through trades and UFA acquisitions in that era, then how is it going to be easier now?  In that era, pretty much every high profiled player ended up one of 6 teams (Toronto, New York, Philadelphia, Colorado, Detroit, Dallas).

So one time with Sundin the Leafs almost made it to the Stanley cup final.  What would you rather have, that situation, or one where for a string of 10 to 15 years, the Leafs are a team that has a legitimate shot at winning the cup?

Not the same at all though.  Different era and FAR different team build philosophy.  I appreciated the fact that we could compete for the cup and was saddened by the fact that we fell short like 29 other teams do each and every year.

Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.

This is where our difference in philosophy lies.  I don't want to cheer for a team that competes for a cup.  I want to cheer for a team that when they don't make it to the cup finals, it's considered an upset, or that the Leafs choked by not getting there.  The years that the Sundin lead teams didn't make it to the cup final, it wasn't a choke job.  Most of those years, when the Leafs got beat out, most pundits said "yeah that's about right".  I want to cheer for a truly great team, not a team that is satisfied with making it in to the playoffs and if luck holds might win a cup through an upset.  As a fan, I don't like the fact that for the best possible odds in the draft, the Leafs have to lose now, but I understand that the losing is the best possible way for the Leafs to build a powerhouse of a team.
That's fine and good but you can't expect to get there the very next year after winning the lottery. You have to start your climb up the standings though.
 
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
The reason I asked why you thought the Leafs didn't win a cup with Sundin, is because adding Stamkos is like adding a Sundin.  If the Leafs couldn't build a team around Sundin to reliably compete for the cup year in and year out through trades and UFA acquisitions in that era, then how is it going to be easier now?  In that era, pretty much every high profiled player ended up one of 6 teams (Toronto, New York, Philadelphia, Colorado, Detroit, Dallas).

So one time with Sundin the Leafs almost made it to the Stanley cup final.  What would you rather have, that situation, or one where for a string of 10 to 15 years, the Leafs are a team that has a legitimate shot at winning the cup?

Not the same at all though.  Different era and FAR different team build philosophy.  I appreciated the fact that we could compete for the cup and was saddened by the fact that we fell short like 29 other teams do each and every year.

Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.

This is where our difference in philosophy lies.  I don't want to cheer for a team that competes for a cup.  I want to cheer for a team that when they don't make it to the cup finals, it's considered an upset, or that the Leafs choked by not getting there.  The years that the Sundin lead teams didn't make it to the cup final, it wasn't a choke job.  Most of those years, when the Leafs got beat out, most pundits said "yeah that's about right".  I want to cheer for a truly great team, not a team that is satisfied with making it in to the playoffs and if luck holds might win a cup through an upset.  As a fan, I don't like the fact that for the best possible odds in the draft, the Leafs have to lose now, but I understand that the losing is the best possible way for the Leafs to build a powerhouse of a team.
That's fine and good but you can't expect to get there the very next year after winning the lottery. You have to start your climb up the standings though.

You missed my point.  You don't get to where I would like to see the Leafs get too without getting multiple lottery picks.  I will stomach the Leafs being bad next year because it gives them the highest percentage at getting a player like Nolan Patrick or Timothy Liljegren.  That's one more good young player in the stable.  And if they are bad the year after that and get a high pick in 2018, then I will stomach that too, because when these players fully mature and start to reach their prime years all together, then they will more than likely be one of the most dominate teams in the NHL.  Then they will rise up the standings.  Bubble team at first, then in the playoffs, and then Stanley cup contender.  Their cap will be manageable because these players will all be close together in age so some will still be on entry level deals, some will have just signed their second contracts.  And if this is done right, then there should still be prospects on the farm that are pushing to make the Leafs, and those are the assets that you can use to turn in to those complimentary pieces that can push a team over the top.  The organisation would now be on solid footing.  It would have a pipeline of prospects, and a high quality NHL team.  That's the sustainable winning team that I would like the Leafs to become.  It takes losing right now to get to that point.   
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
You missed my point.  You don't get to where I would like to see the Leafs get too without getting multiple lottery picks.  I will stomach the Leafs being bad next year because it gives them the highest percentage at getting a player like Nolan Patrick or Timothy Liljegren.  That's one more good young player in the stable.  And if they are bad the year after that and get a high pick in 2018, then I will stomach that too, because when these players fully mature and start to reach their prime years all together, then they will more than likely be one of the most dominate teams in the NHL.  Then they will rise up the standings.  Bubble team at first, then in the playoffs, and then Stanley cup contender.  Their cap will be manageable because these players will all be close together in age so some will still be on entry level deals, some will have just signed their second contracts.  And if this is done right, then there should still be prospects on the farm that are pushing to make the Leafs, and those are the assets that you can use to turn in to those complimentary pieces that can push a team over the top.  The organisation would now be on solid footing.  It would have a pipeline of prospects, and a high quality NHL team.  That's the sustainable winning team that I would like the Leafs to become.  It takes losing right now to get to that point. 

Exactly. The Leafs aren't trying to build a team that can maybe make a Cup run or two. They're trying to build the foundation of a team that can be a consistent Cup threat for an extended period of time. That's going to take a lot of time and patience, and it's going to mean passing on some opportunities to speed things up by adding significant pieces through free agency. It's going to mean making shrewd deals rather than splashy ones. They need to build a prospect pipeline, so, when the team is ready, they can either trade some of them to fill holes or pick up the complementary pieces they need, or so they can move the complementary pieces they have to pick up assets that help to keep the pipeline flowing while filling the roster spot with an equally or more talented young player on a cheap entry-level contract. Shanahan has been transparent about this since he came on board. This is going to be a slow process. There aren't going to be any quick fixes, shortcuts, or any of the like. Big pieces won't be added until it's time to add big pieces - and, as Babcock said, now is not that time. So, strap yourselves in, because it's going to a longer and bumpier ride than you've been expecting.
 
McGarnagle said:
TBLeafer said:
Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.

And we don't know how good our "best" internal players truly are. For all the optimism, the Marlies were good, but it wasn't as if anyone other than Nylander looked like he'd outclassed the AHL. It just doesn't make sense to me to commit to a direction like Stamkos.

The organization has convinced the fans to accept the prospect of a complete rebuild, and 2 years... yes, 2 years in, I'd have a hard time of seeing them sign Stamkos as a sign of anything but compromise to Rogers and Bell. We've all seen the positives that have already come from the tough decision to turn over the organization. I'd be really disappointed to see them abandon a long term strategy of creating a powerhouse in favour of reverting back to trying to be a perennial wild card hopeful.

Yes but this situation is different than the past.  JFJ and Burke tried to speed up the rebuild by selling our futures for now.  That bit us in the ass big time.  In Stamkos' situation, all we're losing is cap space (which may or may not be valuable in the future).  For all we know, all our "blue-chip" prospects could wither under the Toronto Sun (pun intended) and we'd be left with a ton of cap space that's useless.  So you're assuming we're going to use all that cap space which is an unknown whereas Stamkos is closer to a known commodity that will provide an immediate impact offensively and provide a stable leader to guide the younglings.  I see it as a good thing to sign him.
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
The reason I asked why you thought the Leafs didn't win a cup with Sundin, is because adding Stamkos is like adding a Sundin.  If the Leafs couldn't build a team around Sundin to reliably compete for the cup year in and year out through trades and UFA acquisitions in that era, then how is it going to be easier now?  In that era, pretty much every high profiled player ended up one of 6 teams (Toronto, New York, Philadelphia, Colorado, Detroit, Dallas).

So one time with Sundin the Leafs almost made it to the Stanley cup final.  What would you rather have, that situation, or one where for a string of 10 to 15 years, the Leafs are a team that has a legitimate shot at winning the cup?

Not the same at all though.  Different era and FAR different team build philosophy.  I appreciated the fact that we could compete for the cup and was saddened by the fact that we fell short like 29 other teams do each and every year.

Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.

This is where our difference in philosophy lies.  I don't want to cheer for a team that competes for a cup.  I want to cheer for a team that when they don't make it to the cup finals, it's considered an upset, or that the Leafs choked by not getting there.  The years that the Sundin lead teams didn't make it to the cup final, it wasn't a choke job.  Most of those years, when the Leafs got beat out, most pundits said "yeah that's about right".  I want to cheer for a truly great team, not a team that is satisfied with making it in to the playoffs and if luck holds might win a cup through an upset.  As a fan, I don't like the fact that for the best possible odds in the draft, the Leafs have to lose now, but I understand that the losing is the best possible way for the Leafs to build a powerhouse of a team.
That's fine and good but you can't expect to get there the very next year after winning the lottery. You have to start your climb up the standings though.

You missed my point.  You don't get to where I would like to see the Leafs get too without getting multiple lottery picks.  I will stomach the Leafs being bad next year because it gives them the highest percentage at getting a player like Nolan Patrick or Timothy Liljegren.  That's one more good young player in the stable.  And if they are bad the year after that and get a high pick in 2018, then I will stomach that too, because when these players fully mature and start to reach their prime years all together, then they will more than likely be one of the most dominate teams in the NHL.  Then they will rise up the standings.  Bubble team at first, then in the playoffs, and then Stanley cup contender.  Their cap will be manageable because these players will all be close together in age so some will still be on entry level deals, some will have just signed their second contracts.  And if this is done right, then there should still be prospects on the farm that are pushing to make the Leafs, and those are the assets that you can use to turn in to those complimentary pieces that can push a team over the top.  The organisation would now be on solid footing.  It would have a pipeline of prospects, and a high quality NHL team.  That's the sustainable winning team that I would like the Leafs to become.  It takes losing right now to get to that point. 

Say no to drugs. Lottery picks have become your drug and we now have enough.
 
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
TBLeafer said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
The reason I asked why you thought the Leafs didn't win a cup with Sundin, is because adding Stamkos is like adding a Sundin.  If the Leafs couldn't build a team around Sundin to reliably compete for the cup year in and year out through trades and UFA acquisitions in that era, then how is it going to be easier now?  In that era, pretty much every high profiled player ended up one of 6 teams (Toronto, New York, Philadelphia, Colorado, Detroit, Dallas).

So one time with Sundin the Leafs almost made it to the Stanley cup final.  What would you rather have, that situation, or one where for a string of 10 to 15 years, the Leafs are a team that has a legitimate shot at winning the cup?

Not the same at all though.  Different era and FAR different team build philosophy.  I appreciated the fact that we could compete for the cup and was saddened by the fact that we fell short like 29 other teams do each and every year.

Difference now is that we ain't trading Matthews to get Stamkos.  Our BEST internal players are just about to START their NHL careers.

This is where our difference in philosophy lies.  I don't want to cheer for a team that competes for a cup.  I want to cheer for a team that when they don't make it to the cup finals, it's considered an upset, or that the Leafs choked by not getting there.  The years that the Sundin lead teams didn't make it to the cup final, it wasn't a choke job.  Most of those years, when the Leafs got beat out, most pundits said "yeah that's about right".  I want to cheer for a truly great team, not a team that is satisfied with making it in to the playoffs and if luck holds might win a cup through an upset.  As a fan, I don't like the fact that for the best possible odds in the draft, the Leafs have to lose now, but I understand that the losing is the best possible way for the Leafs to build a powerhouse of a team.
That's fine and good but you can't expect to get there the very next year after winning the lottery. You have to start your climb up the standings though.

You missed my point.  You don't get to where I would like to see the Leafs get too without getting multiple lottery picks.  I will stomach the Leafs being bad next year because it gives them the highest percentage at getting a player like Nolan Patrick or Timothy Liljegren.  That's one more good young player in the stable.  And if they are bad the year after that and get a high pick in 2018, then I will stomach that too, because when these players fully mature and start to reach their prime years all together, then they will more than likely be one of the most dominate teams in the NHL.  Then they will rise up the standings.  Bubble team at first, then in the playoffs, and then Stanley cup contender.  Their cap will be manageable because these players will all be close together in age so some will still be on entry level deals, some will have just signed their second contracts.  And if this is done right, then there should still be prospects on the farm that are pushing to make the Leafs, and those are the assets that you can use to turn in to those complimentary pieces that can push a team over the top.  The organisation would now be on solid footing.  It would have a pipeline of prospects, and a high quality NHL team.  That's the sustainable winning team that I would like the Leafs to become.  It takes losing right now to get to that point. 

Say no to drugs. Lottery picks have become your drug and we now have enough.

Did you not just say two posts ago that it takes more than one lottery pick to start winning?  So what happens if the Leafs don't sign Stamkos?  What's the contingency plan there?  You don't answer any of the questions that the other posters are asking of you.  You make a smart remark that dismisses the holes that other posters bring up in your grand plan of:

Step 1:  Sign Stamkos
Step 2:  Maybe win a cup someday somehow 

After the Leafs get Stamkos and he magically takes us to the second round of the playoffs next year, then what?  How do the Leafs get better?  Where does the talent upgrade happen from?  You say internally, but how can it happen internally when the Leafs are picking in the mid to late stages of the first round?  Look at the teams that are in the Stanley Cup final.  Look at those rosters.  How can the Leafs, even with Stamkos, compete with those rosters.  They don't have the pieces that they need in order to beat those teams in a seven game series, and there is a high probability that they won't be able to get those pieces if the Leafs are drafting in the mid to late rounds.
 
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