• For users coming over from tmlfans.ca your username will remain the same but you will need to use the password reset feature (check your spam folder) on the login page in order to set your password. If you encounter issues, email Rick couchmanrick@gmail.com

What do you think Nazem Kadri is worth to the Leafs?

Saint Nik said:
Tigger said:
I have no idea why you're implying anything about his endurance, he's on pace for 70 games played, where are you getting that from?

Just to interject, this isn't really true. If you're trying to figure out a games played pace, you need to do it in the same way that you'd do a pace for anything else(as in he'll play in the same percentage of games he's played in until this point). Right now Connolly has played in 42 of 54 games. If that pace continues, he'll play in 64 games this year, not 70.

Perhaps then using the word pace is misleading, because otherwise I disagree with you. Can't the assumption be that he won't get injured again? I'm not sure that injury rate is as accurate a predictor as a scoring rate would be.
 
Sarge said:
Tigger said:
I have no idea why you're implying anything about his endurance

Not games played... His ability to be affective #2 centrer with the amount of minutes a #2 centre typically should get. I'm guessing he's look even worse with those minutes.

Well the insurance policy also included Bozak, who's playing well with the top two forwards, Grabovski anchors the second line...

I mean, you could very well be correct about his endurance but I think this is situational, he's thrived with more minutes before, more pp production and toi while playing meaningful minutes on a good pk and similar decent es toi and production. It's just that he's a stopgap you're worrying about that should be easy to fix if they need to purely in terms of cap space. He's a free bandaid, have to rip 'em off sometime.
 
Sarge said:
Sorry for the string here but I just looked it up and yeah, Connolly ranks 59th in TOI/G among centres. - Not good. I really do think endurance could be an issue for him and perhaps he's being held back for that reason. Or, maybe he is getting held back for being not-so-good, I don't know... Either way, it's not the king of bang for the buck I'm looking for.

I think the endurance thing is really you reading too much into the TOI stat. He's lower in the rankings in TOI/G because he's played so much of the season as a 3rd line centre and very little as a 1st line centre because of how well Bozak has fit in with Kessel & Lupul and how good Grabovski has been. No more, no less.
 
bustaheims said:
Sarge said:
Sorry for the string here but I just looked it up and yeah, Connolly ranks 59th in TOI/G among centres. - Not good. I really do think endurance could be an issue for him and perhaps he's being held back for that reason. Or, maybe he is getting held back for being not-so-good, I don't know... Either way, it's not the king of bang for the buck I'm looking for.

I think the endurance thing is really you reading too much into the TOI stat. He's lower in the rankings in TOI/G because he's played so much of the season as a 3rd line centre and very little as a 1st line centre because of how well Bozak has fit in with Kessel & Lupul and how good Grabovski has been. No more, no less.

... and there's half my problem... Almost 5 mil for a 3rd line centre... and the other half as I stated (and why I'm questioning his endurance) is that in those reduced minutes, I often see him behind the play. Now, is that because when he's on the 1st line there's no way he's keeping up with Kessel and on the 3rd, no way he's keeping up with Lombardi? Maybe that's part of it I suppose but I don't see Bozak struggling as much. What am I missing here? What makes Bozak (who is not light out fast) a much better fit on the top line? Perhaps if one can identify what it is about Bozak that Connolly lacks, it would better explain what it is about Connolly's play that I'm frustrated with. Anyone care to take a stab at that? - Because at the moment, all I can come up with is endurance. 
 
Sarge said:
... and there's half my problem... Almost 5 mil for a 3rd line centre... and the other half as I stated (and why I'm questioning his endurance) is that in those reduced minutes, I often see him behind the play. Now, is that because when he's on the 1st line there's no way he's keeping up with Kessel and on the 3rd, no way he's keeping up with Lombardi? Maybe that's part of it I suppose but I don't see Bozak struggling as much. What am I missing here? What makes Bozak (who is not light out fast) a much better fit on the top line? Perhaps if one can identify what it is about Bozak that Connolly lacks, it would better explain what it is about Connolly's play that I'm frustrated with. Anyone care to take a stab at that? - Because at the moment, all I can come up with is endurance.

Well, what makes Bozak a better fit on the top line than Connolly is really pretty straight-forward - better chemistry with Kessel and Lupul, or, at least, more established chemistry with them. It's essentially a case of "if it ain't broke . . . " Bozak is a better skater, as well. As for the rest, part of the reason you perceive Connolly to be behind the play is that he's not the swiftest of skaters (at least, not for longer stretches), part of it is that he's often down deeper in the defensive end (he has been very good defensively) and part of it is that he's creating another option late on the rush, finding open ice, etc. I agree with you in that his cap hit isn't ideal for a 3rd line centre, but, I really don't see endurance being a problem and I think you're reaching for reasons to find it to be one.
 
Sarge said:
bustaheims said:
Sarge said:
Sorry for the string here but I just looked it up and yeah, Connolly ranks 59th in TOI/G among centres. - Not good. I really do think endurance could be an issue for him and perhaps he's being held back for that reason. Or, maybe he is getting held back for being not-so-good, I don't know... Either way, it's not the king of bang for the buck I'm looking for.

I think the endurance thing is really you reading too much into the TOI stat. He's lower in the rankings in TOI/G because he's played so much of the season as a 3rd line centre and very little as a 1st line centre because of how well Bozak has fit in with Kessel & Lupul and how good Grabovski has been. No more, no less.

... and there's half my problem... Almost 5 mil for a 3rd line centre... and the other half as I stated (and why I'm questioning his endurance) is that in those reduced minutes, I often see him behind the play. Now, is that because when he's on the 1st line there's no way he's keeping up with Kessel and on the 3rd, no way he's keeping up with Lombardi? Maybe that's part of it I suppose but I don't see Bozak struggling as much. What am I missing here? What makes Bozak (who is not light out fast) a much better fit on the top line? Perhaps if one can identify what it is about Bozak that Connolly lacks, it would better explain what it is about Connolly's play that I'm frustrated with. Anyone care to take a stab at that? - Because at the moment, all I can come up with is endurance. 

You're getting stuck on role associations, it's not necessarily that Connolly lacks what Bozak has on the '1st' line, it's that Bozak works on the '1st' line. If you don't have to use your insurance, in some cases, you can borrow against it, right? For his role he's doing fine, sure he's overpaid for it but the Leafs haven't needed him to preform a higher one for most of the year.

What you're missing is actually Tyler.

Can't say I agree that I've seen him 'behind' the play as you're inferring, no more so than most other centres.
 
I can see a footspeed argument to a degree, he has nhl skating ability but not top end speed, nothing like Lombardi certainly so I can see how it might appear that way but I don't think it has anything to do with endurance.
 
Bah... In my mind he's redundant and a largely replaceable piece in the same way Timmy Brent was. Speaking of which;

Connolly - 42 GP - 7G, 18A - 25 pts - 17:08 TOI/G - 4.75 mil X 2 years
Brent  - 51GP - 7G, 9A - 16pts - 09:56 TOI/G - 0.75 mil x 2

... and just who exactly are Brent's line mates in Carolina? 

I mean, if Brent got Connolly's minutes, he could be having a better season than Connolly for crying out loud.  Why didn't we just keep Brent... for 8 mil. less? Anyway, I'm not a Connolly fan... if I'm a bad person for it, so be it.
 
Bit of an odd comparison to make seeing as how Connolly is primarily a playmaker and has double the assists Brent has (also Brent has 16 points not 19).

I don't think anybody is going to argue that Connolly isn't overpaid. He certainly is. But that's not his fault. He was brought in to play first line centre with Kessel and Lupul, and while he didn't look awful with those two Bozak just looked better. And after last season nobody was expecting Bozak to play like he is right now. So with the top-2 centre positions spoken for, Connolly has to settle for the 3rd line role and I don't think he's exactly looked out of place there.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Bit of an odd comparison to make seeing as how Connolly is primarily a playmaker and has double the assists Brent has (also Brent has 16 points not 19).

I don't think anybody is going to argue that Connolly isn't overpaid. He certainly is. But that's not his fault. He was brought in to play first line centre with Kessel and Lupul, and while he didn't look awful with those two Bozak just looked better. And after last season nobody was expecting Bozak to play like he is right now. So with the top-2 centre positions spoken for, Connolly has to settle for the 3rd line role and I don't think he's exactly looked out of place there.

16 okay, my bad... I'll fix that but part of the reason why Connolly has 9 more assists than Brent does (and 9 isn't a big number) is that Brent has worse line mates... and it's not even close... FAR WORSE... As far as the rest of your post goes - Agreed. Look, I understand the circumstances in which we signed Connolly, I just don't like that it hasn't worked out and really, that's on him.
 
I agree that Connolly is a major underachiever based purely on salary..I get what Burke was hoping for, and Timmy was given the chance, but Bozak outperformed him for the slot. But at least Connolly is fairly defensively responsible and he only has 1 more year on his contract, so it's not like the Leafs are stuck with him like some teams are with really bad contracts. Like another poster said, the Leafs wouldn't have done anything differently with the salary spent on him this year, opening up 4.75 mil on his expiring contract to a team who would want it next year or for the Leafs in the following year.
 
You know we wouldn't be moaning so much about spending 3 and 4+ million on guys pushed to the bottom 6 of the depth chart if we weren't completely healthy right now.

Inevitably again in the future one or two or more guys are going to get hurt and then we should be thankful to have guys that can hopefully step up into bigger roles.  On that topic it will also give a chance for guys like Kadri to step into the open spots and show what they can bring.
 
Tigger said:
Saint Nik said:
Tigger said:
I have no idea why you're implying anything about his endurance, he's on pace for 70 games played, where are you getting that from?

Just to interject, this isn't really true. If you're trying to figure out a games played pace, you need to do it in the same way that you'd do a pace for anything else(as in he'll play in the same percentage of games he's played in until this point). Right now Connolly has played in 42 of 54 games. If that pace continues, he'll play in 64 games this year, not 70.

You're right, I was going by a website, good point. Funny though they had the projected points adjusted correctly, they must have forgot to multply, and so did I.

I think most websites do that.  They assume the player is not going to get injured and therefore play the remaining games in the schedule.
 
Sarge said:
Bah... In my mind he's redundant and a largely replaceable piece in the same way Timmy Brent was. Speaking of which;

Connolly - 42 GP - 7G, 18A - 25 pts - 17:08 TOI/G - 4.75 mil X 2 years
Brent  - 51GP - 7G, 9A - 16pts - 09:56 TOI/G - 0.75 mil x 2

... and just who exactly are Brent's line mates in Carolina? 

I mean, if Brent got Connolly's minutes, he could be having a better season than Connolly for crying out loud.  Why didn't we just keep Brent... for 8 mil. less? Anyway, I'm not a Connolly fan... if I'm a bad person for it, so be it.

Connolly hasn't been playing with Kessel and Lupul.  He is our most skilled center, he should be given a chance to play with the other skilled players in order to produce.
 
Rebel_1812 said:
Connolly hasn't been playing with Kessel and Lupul.  He is our most skilled center, he should be given a chance to play with the other skilled players in order to produce.

I'm still optimistic about what Connolly might be able to do when he gets a crack at the top 6 again but....Grabovski is our most skilled center IMO
 
You know who also would have been a better/cheaper "insurance policy" than Connolly? - Arnott.

Connolly - 42 GP - 7G, 18A - 25 pts - 17:08 TOI/G - 4.75 mil X 2 years
Arnott - 49GP - 12G, 12A - 24  pts - 14:30 TOI/G - 2.875 mil x 1 year.

Again, here's a cheaper guy who's likely to be more productive than Connolly with Connolly's ice time. Sure, Arnott doesn't kill penalties but still, I can't help but think Arnott might have been the safer/better - choice and I don't recall there being a ton of demand for him either. He certainly has the size that we're desperately trying to find now.  :-\

Anyway, I don't mean to be ripping on Connolly so much... Perhaps this is more of a reflection on the Leaf brass but sometimes it's just fun to look back.
 
Sarge said:
You know who also would have been a better/cheaper "insurance policy" than Connolly? - Arnott.

Connolly - 42 GP - 7G, 18A - 25 pts - 17:08 TOI/G - 4.75 mil X 2 years
Arnott - 49GP - 12G, 12A - 24  pts - 14:30 TOI/G - 2.875 mil x 1 year.

Again, here's a cheaper guy who's likely to be more productive than Connolly with Connolly's ice time. Sure, Arnott doesn't kill penalties but still, I can't help but think Arnott might have been the safer/better - choice and I don't recall there being a ton of demand for him either. He certainly has the size that we're desperately trying to find now.  :-\

Anyway, I don't mean to be ripping on Connolly so much... Perhaps this is more of a reflection on the Leaf brass but sometimes it's just fun to look back.

I would've loved Arnott actually. But I think his heart was set away from the Leafs.
 
Sarge said:
CarltonTheBear said:
Bit of an odd comparison to make seeing as how Connolly is primarily a playmaker and has double the assists Brent has (also Brent has 16 points not 19).

I don't think anybody is going to argue that Connolly isn't overpaid. He certainly is. But that's not his fault. He was brought in to play first line centre with Kessel and Lupul, and while he didn't look awful with those two Bozak just looked better. And after last season nobody was expecting Bozak to play like he is right now. So with the top-2 centre positions spoken for, Connolly has to settle for the 3rd line role and I don't think he's exactly looked out of place there.

16 okay, my bad... I'll fix that but part of the reason why Connolly has 9 more assists than Brent does (and 9 isn't a big number) is that Brent has worse line mates... and it's not even close... FAR WORSE... As far as the rest of your post goes - Agreed. Look, I understand the circumstances in which we signed Connolly, I just don't like that it hasn't worked out and really, that's on him.

Ask Philippe Dupuis how big a number 9 is.  :P
 
Sarge said:
You know who also would have been a better/cheaper "insurance policy" than Connolly? - Arnott.

Connolly - 42 GP - 7G, 18A - 25 pts - 17:08 TOI/G - 4.75 mil X 2 years
Arnott - 49GP - 12G, 12A - 24  pts - 14:30 TOI/G - 2.875 mil x 1 year.

Again, here's a cheaper guy who's likely to be more productive than Connolly with Connolly's ice time. Sure, Arnott doesn't kill penalties but still, I can't help but think Arnott might have been the safer/better - choice and I don't recall there being a ton of demand for him either. He certainly has the size that we're desperately trying to find now.  :-\

Anyway, I don't mean to be ripping on Connolly so much... Perhaps this is more of a reflection on the Leaf brass but sometimes it's just fun to look back.

Arnott would have definitely been a better option for the 3rd line. The problem is the Leafs weren't looking for a 3rd line centre, they were looking for a 1st line centre and Arnott would have looked ridiculous between Kessel and Lupul.
 
Back
Top