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2016-17 Centennial Leafs General Team Discussion

Zee said:
LuncheonMeat said:
I think Marner is going to run away with it (my bold prediction).

Laine will win if he keeps up his goal scoring.  He's on pace to top 40 goals.

Something tells me his 21% shooting percentage won't hold up.  That and his Goal:Assist ratio probably has him primed to be one of those guys who can't keep up his offensive pace.  It's not like he isn't playing with a star player at this point too.
 
Word is Carrick is the odd man out in Vancouver and Marincin is in.

I really wonder how much they even pay attention to much of Dubas's work.

Statistically, Carrick has been really good this year, so if this isn't an injury I don't know what's going on.

How can they persevere with Polwick when it's being totally murdered every game?
 
Found this while perusing @Mirtle's feed, from @EvolvingWild

Cytpv4gXEAAsSM2.png


@DTMAboutHeart's WAR calculation visualized for the top 30 forwards.
Longer bars are better (e.g. Fewer penalties taken = longer green bar)

The model doesn't account for PK contributions yet, largely because that's not easily quantifiable with the existing data, hence someone like Bergeron only landing 45th in this model.

Our boy Naz has the biggest penalty drawing bar of the top 30 :)
 
Frank E said:
Deebo said:
I'm worried about how Bullfrog is going to take this news.

He's on his way to Toronto as we speak.

So upset, it's taken me this long to reply. I'll be in Toronto next week to straighten out this issue. Or at least to offer moral support to my boy.
 
Deebo said:
I wouldn't be surprised if we see a 6 year deal for him.

I keep going back and forth on what the aav would be there, from what I've seen though I wouldn't mind a longer term deal.
 
You might have noticed this watching our games this year:

The Leafs try to take most of their shots from in close (between the dots to the goal line). Even shots from the point are generally directed for tips and rebounds. Defensively, we're okay with conceding shots from a distance because of our preference for larger goalies and aggressive angles, with our puck checkers more aggressive to the blue line than we were with Carlyle.

The numbers bear this out, as we have the highest differential between shot distance against and shot distance for so far this season:
https://twitter.com/ChartingHockey/status/807327149027971073
 
https://twitter.com/jonassiegel/status/814871829257027584

Before the active tank. Before Mike Babcock. Before the sell-off. Before the high-pick infusions. Before the HOPE.

This was the last time we occupied that 'mushy-middle' of the NHL. Only Rielly, Kadri, JVR, Bozak and Gardiner remain from just three years ago.
 
disco said:
https://twitter.com/jonassiegel/status/814871829257027584

Before the active tank. Before Mike Babcock. Before the sell-off. Before the high-pick infusions. Before the HOPE.

This was the last time we occupied that 'mushy-middle' of the NHL. Only Rielly, Kadri, JVR, Bozak and Gardiner remain from just three years ago.

That roster can't be far off from the group that made the playoffs and had that epic game 7 collapse, that still haunts my dreams to this day.
 
Highlander said:
Anyone know if one of the US networks will carry the Leaf-Detroit game. Otherwise will have to find a link to watch it here.

Yes, it will be carried by NBC at 3PM.

Also carrying the 2017 NHL Winter Classic matchup between the Blues and the Blackhawks.  That one's on Jan.2 at 1PM.

Info:
http://nbcsportsgrouppressbox.com/2016/12/21/nbc-sports-presents-pair-of-nhl-outdoor-classics-to-ring-in-2017-on-jan-1-and-jan-2/
 
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
Froese returned to the Marlies and Corrado is going with him for a 7 game/two week conditioning assignment.

Leafs are the kings of the conditioning assignment to get around waivers.
 
http://theleafsnation.com/2017/1/3/analyzing-toronto-s-game-score-from-december

Caveat: Game Score is not quite perfect, and doesn't really account much for the defense (is downright simplistic for goaltending) beyond rewarding lower shot attempts (or higher shot differentials). Pretty much matches up with that most eyes will tell you though.

article_9972d2ca-1315-4e3b-ae27-964891592c9b.png

3. There is a gigantic divide between the top of the team and the bottom of them. There are 12 players above seven and then the next highest is at three. Their top three D were great, and almost their entire top nine too. They were the guys doing the damage for the Leafs in December and carrying the load. That leaves Leo Komarov, the lone top nine player that struggled this month, and then the usual suspects: the fourth line, third pair, and Connor Carrick who has done fine by shot rates, but has shown very little offensive flair lately. Some better contribution at the bottom of the lineup would go a long way.

4. The reason for the split? Pretty much all those guys at the bottom, aside from Carrick, were negative shot rate players last month, while the guys at the top, aside from Nylander, were all positive. The Leafs carry the run of play anytime their top guys are on, but get caved in when the bottom of the lineup rolls in. That's not news, it's been that way all season, it's just a shame because it doesn't have to be that way. See what Columbus has done with their fourth line for an example.
 
https://www.nhl.com/news/morgan-rielly-five-questions-with/c-285268072?tid=278387990

Are you guys talking at all about the playoffs yet based on where you are in the standings?


Rielly: "In meetings, no. Amongst each other at dinner, absolutely. I think if you don't come to the rink with the attitude that you're going to be playing in the playoffs, you're already behind. When we go for dinner, we definitely talk about it. I check the standings every day. We definitely talk about it. I certainly do."

Mo is super candid, especially for a Lou-era interview.
 
Thanks for sharing herman.

I wonder if he'll be in a spot of hot water for the following quote.

Right now, Mike is maybe putting things in fast-forward a little bit in a good sense because he believes in our group and has confidence in our group. He thinks we can go further and quicker than what he has portrayed in the media.

I'm fairly certain that's not something Babcock wants to be said to the media so explicitly.
 

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