• For users coming over from tmlfans.ca your username will remain the same but you will need to use the password reset feature (check your spam folder) on the login page in order to set your password. If you encounter issues, email Rick couchmanrick@gmail.com

2018-19 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion

herman said:
OldTimeHockey said:
herman said:
This is a tactical inefficiency that should be exploited more readily:
https://twitter.com/tsn_sports/status/1028089471940653061

It certainly gives you a lot more reach and more control of the puck while reaching.

And attacking from a dimension that?s not normally accounted for from that side. It?s rare to get that kind of time and space and he lucked out scooping a puck on edge.

He certainly did. The puck rolled at just the right time to get the quick scoop. The process is quite a bit longer if you do it while the puck is flat on the ice
 
How many actually believe this?:

[tweet]1024373161876447233[/tweet]

It is in fact a very well-written, well-researched piece on Leivo and why he may be a Leaf version of  a Jonathan Marchassault sample type player.

Checking moneypuck.com myself, with a minimum of 131 minutes playing time, Leivo was second to Matthews in the "x goals in 60" for the 2016-2017 season among Leaf forwards:
                       
                                        x goals in
                                        60 minutes

C Auston Matthews      1.3  (1st)
L Josh Leivo                  1.06 (2nd)


However, looking at that same column with the same minimum minutes, Leivo was ninth in that same column ("x goals in 60") for the 2017-2018 season among Leaf forwards:

                                        x goals in
                                        60 minutes

C Auston Matthews    1.09  (1st)
L Josh Leivo                  0.71 (9th)


Let's not forget these are small sample stats, since Leivo hasn't played much to begin with.
 
Frank E said:
herman said:
The main difference that makes me balk at the Leivo/Marchessault comparison is skating.

Just the skating, herman?

Stylistically, in the OZ, they're pretty similar as opportunistic RH shooters. Leivo is a bigger body, but Marchessault is faster on the rush, more laterally agile, and sneakier in finding soft ice. i.e. Marchessault creates more of his own opportunities due to his mobility. Leivo is a similar level in terms of raw finish, but very dependent for chance generation.

It's why they both struggled with bottom-6 linemates, but Marchessault, when given the chance and time, has flourished with skilled partners. Leivo would be very productive across from Nylander, or Marner, or Kadri, but he is perceived to give up more than he scores over the likes of Johnsson and Hyman and Marleau.
 
Dellow took a deep dive into the Leafs D being sheltered over the past few days and his output is really, really, good:

https://theathletic.com/468934/2018/08/15/dellow-how-mike-babcock-and-others-are-sheltering-defencemen-while-playing-them-against-top-opposition/

Main takeaways: 
- Everyone says QoC doesn't matter very much, but that might be more about how we collect that data than anything else because:
- Coming onto the ice against Top 6 forwards after they've already been on the ice for 30 seconds (and the puck is going into the offensive zone) will boost your QoC metric, but mostly, they are sheltered minutes and aren't very dangerous

It is very much worth noting that OTF shifts starting against top six forwards made up a substantial portion of the ice time that players like Carrick and Borgman played against opposition top six forwards. In Carrick?s case, I have him playing 260.15 minutes against top six forwards, with the Maple Leafs generating 269 shot attempts and allowing 233 shot attempts in that time. Put another way, the Maple Leafs generated 62.0 CF/60 and allowed 53.7 CA/60. Carrick?s shifts starting on the fly against top six forwards lasted for 83.82 minutes, or just under a third of his total time on ice against top six forwards. The Maple Leafs generated 126 shot attempts and allowed just 53; 90.2 CF/60 and 37.9 CA/60.

Earlier, he had graphs that showed Carrick was among the leaders in "latest into a Top-6 shift you get thrown out there" at 30 seconds.

A commenter did the math on Carrick's results taking out this form of sheltering:
176.33 minutes, 143 shots for, 180 shots against for 48.66 CF/60 and 61.25 CA/60 in "non-OFT shifts" against top 6.

WOOF. Maybe any of us wishing for Carrick to move up the lineup should re-consider. 

Of note, Polak, Borgman, and Dermott also saw this heavy form of sheltering.  Borgman's numbers were worse than Carrick- but how much of that might have been due to carrying around Polak's carcass?  Polak's results weren't that good, AND he was heavily sheltered. Good riddance.  (So yes, we should have always been yelling for Carrick over Polak- but only on the bottom pair)

Dellow didn't provide more data on Dermott in these minutes which I would have liked to see.  However, he had the strongest numbers across the board for guys who were sheltered.  I'm looking forward to seeing if he can still do well in a Top-4 role and I hope he gets that chance this year. 
 
Something might be up:

https://www.bardown.com/a-leafs-prospect-s-social-media-activity-has-fans-jumping-to-conclusions-1.1157984
 
Frank E said:
Something might be up:

https://www.bardown.com/a-leafs-prospect-s-social-media-activity-has-fans-jumping-to-conclusions-1.1157984

This is why sites like PPP and TLN post their summer rankings day by day.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Frank E said:
Something might be up:

https://www.bardown.com/a-leafs-prospect-s-social-media-activity-has-fans-jumping-to-conclusions-1.1157984

This is why sites like PPP and TLN post their summer rankings day by day.

I'm ranking Nielsen higher now for this masterful troll job.
 
herman said:
CarltonTheBear said:
Frank E said:
Something might be up:

https://www.bardown.com/a-leafs-prospect-s-social-media-activity-has-fans-jumping-to-conclusions-1.1157984

This is why sites like PPP and TLN post their summer rankings day by day.

I'm ranking Nielsen higher now for this masterful troll job.

Imagine if Karlsson's twitter account suddenly followed Dubas and gave him a fist bump?
 
https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/maple-leafs-lightning-tied-atop-stanley-cup-odds-camps-approach/

Obviously.
 
Frank E said:
https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/maple-leafs-lightning-tied-atop-stanley-cup-odds-camps-approach/

Obviously.

I'm sure I will rant about it all year but it is really unfortunate that at best we face Tampa in the second round because of the playoff formatting.  There is no guarantee that Tampa and Toronto finish 1-2 in the East but I don't like the idea that you have a system that ends up with very unbalanced playoff seeding.
 
tenor.gif
 
Very interesting group there. Two females: everyone knows Wickenheiser of course, Needham is more of an unknown name but it looks like she owns a hockey school called Legend Hockey that does a lot of NCAA stuff.

Vic Carneiro has a Dubas-connection as he worked with him in Sault Ste. Marie. Dubas promoted him to the role of Director of Player Personnel there after inheriting him as a scout. He's been an OHL scout since 1999, first working with the London Knights right when the Hunter's bought the team.
 

About Us

This website is NOT associated with the Toronto Maple Leafs or the NHL.


It is operated by Rick Couchman and Jeff Lewis.
Back
Top