GAMES | TORONTO (45-25-4 94p) | FLORIDA (44-26-3 91p) | TAMPA (43-25-5 91p) |
Game 64 | @Hockey Club (WIN) | Sabres (WIN) | @Hurricanes (LOSS) |
Game 65 | Panthers (LOSS) | @Bruins (LOSS) | @Flyers (OTL) |
Game 66 | Senators (LOSS) | @Maple Leafs (WIN) | @Bruins (WIN) |
Game 67 | Flames (WIN) | @Canadiens (LOSS) | Flyers (WIN) |
Game 68 | Avalanche (WIN) | @Islanders (LOSS) | @Stars (WIN) |
Game 69 | @Rangers (WIN) | @Blue Jackets (WIN) | @Hockey Club (LOSS) |
Game 70 | @Predators (LOSS) | @Capitals (LOSS) | @Golden Knights (LOSS) |
Game 71 | Flyers (WIN) | Penguins (WIN) | Penguins (WIN) |
Game 72 | @Sharks (OTL) | Hockey Club (WIN) | Hockey Club (WIN) |
Game 73 | @Kings (WIN) | Canadiens (LOSS) | Islanders (WIN) |
Game 74 | @Ducks (WIN) | @Canadiens (Apr 1) | @Islanders (Apr 1) |
Game 75 | Panthers (Apr 2) | @Maple Leafs (Apr 2) | @Senators (Apr 3) |
Game 76 | Blue Jackets (Apr 5) | @Senators (Apr 5) | @Sabres (Apr 5) |
Game 77 | @Panthers (Apr 8) | @Red Wings (Apr 6) | @Rangers (Apr 7) |
Game 78 | @Lightning (Apr 9) | Maple Leafs (Apr 8) | Maple Leafs (Apr 9) |
Game 79 | Canadiens (Apr 12) | Red Wings (Apr 10) | Red Wings (Apr 11) |
Game 80 | @Hurricanes (Apr 13) | Sabres (Apr 12) | Sabres (Apr 13) |
Game 81 | @Sabres (Apr 15) | Rangers (Apr 14) | Panthers (Apr 15) |
Game 82 | Red Wings (Apr 17) | @Lightning (Apr 15) | @Rangers (Apr 17) |
Toronto 6-1-1 in their last 8 games for all the doom and gloom of the last week or two. Toronto now holds the tie-breaker in the first four categories (Points, RW, ROW and Total wins).
Toronto has two more back to backs and play 3 games in four nights against the Habs/Hurricanes/Sabres. One critical one against Florida/Tampa on the 8th/9th both games on the road. They also have Montreal and Carolina. Montreal is playing for the playoffs. Carolina is pretty much locked up to Metro 2 but home ice in the 3rd round is still a possibility so its' not a meaningless game for them either. The Red Wings game 82 probably won't matter so the Leafs finish the season with two softer opponents. The Leafs still have their two games against the Panthers and one against the Lightning that could make/break the division.
Tampa easily has the lightest schedule left. They don't play any more back-to-backs. They have two games against the Sabres. They play a team on zero days rest 4 times (Leafs on the 9th, Red Wings on the 11th, Sabres on the 13th, Panthers on the 15th)
Florida's schedule is kind of tough. The Sabres are likely the only game that will be against a team that is eliminated. They have 3 back to backs, play two sets of 3 in 4 and have 9 games in 15 days to end the season.
Home Games: Leafs (4), Panthers (4), Lightning (4)
Road Games: Leafs (4), Panthers (5), Lightning (5)
Back to Backs: Leafs (2), Panthers (3), Lightning (0)
3 Game in 4: Leafs (1), Panthers (2), Lightning (0)
Games against team on 0 days rest: Leafs (1), Panthers (0), Lightning (4)
Games against playoff teams: Leafs (5), Panthers (5), Lightning (3)
Games against teams within 3 points of a playoff spot: Leafs (7), Panthers (8), Lightning (7)
Tie-breakers:
1) PTs% 2) RW 3) ROW 4) Total Wins
5) Head to Head
Toronto is 3-0-0 against Tampa with one game remaining so hold the head to head tie-breaker
Florida is 2-0-0 against Toronto so the best Toronto can do is make this a wash with 2 games remaining
Florida is 2-1-0 against the Lightning so the best Tampa can do is make this a wash with 1 game remaining
***IF all three of Tampa/Florida/Toronto are tied with the same number of points, RWs, ROWs, and total wins the Leafs would be able to win this tiebreaker with the best point percentage if they manage to go 6-2-0 (or 6-3-0) against Florida and Tampa. They need to win both Florida games.
6) Goal differential - Tampa (69) > Florida (35) > Toronto (23)
7) Goals scored - Tampa (264) > Toronto (242) > Florida (233)