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All quiet on the Leaf front. But why?

L K said:
Nik? said:
Knobby said:
We had no prospects before he came and I think that now we have some blue chippers.

Frattin, Kulemin, Gunnar, Reimer, Schenn...or, you know, basically every good young player who made an impact on the Leafs last year.

JFJ certainly was a bad GM, but he had essentially 4 years as GM of the Leafs.  Started in August of 2003 and had that season, then got held up by the lockout that killed what was left of the pre-lockout chances of winning a cup with the current team. 

He then bumbled around for 2005/6, 2006/7, and was fired half-way through the 2007/8 season. 

In that 4 year time period he/Fletcher drafted:

Frattin, Gunnarsson, Kulemin, Rask, Reimer, Schenn, Stalberg, Stralman, and Tlusty who have seen significant time in the NHL

Holzer, Komarov, Hayes are guys pushing at the door of NHL ice time too.

When Burke came in, all of those players except Rask were with the team.

The cupboard certainly wasn't full when Burke came in, but to call it complete devoid is a little unfair.

The flip side could be that in 4 years, Burke has had 1 draft pick play for the team.  It's just as unfair of a statement to make because so many of those guys are still in junior/college hockey.  Ferguson's better picks were European/college players who took time to come over to the NA pro game so they didn't make an immediate impact on the NHL roster.

We have prospects, but they are every bit a question mark for being a sign of future team success until they actually do something beyond the CHL.

True, but I would argue that our top end players seem to be coming from Burke. Gardiner for example, and I'd also argue even Bozak is better than the majority of players listed above (even though he gets dumped on a lot) with the exception of Rask.
 
L K said:
The cupboard certainly wasn't full when Burke came in, but to call it complete devoid is a little unfair.

Well, I think it's kind of indicative of the whole problem with trying to rate prospects in the first place. The impression that JFJ left "nothing" comes from how things looked at the time. When JFJ was fired nobody would have looked at a 7th round pick like Carl Gunnarsson as a really good prospect despite the fact that he was and it's an impression that has persisted even though we're now starting to see the fruits of those drafts.

That's why, to me at least, it's so pointless when people try to defend the job Burke has done on the basis of how he's "built" the farm system. Until it actually starts paying dividends for the NHL team it's a suspect accomplishment at best.
 
Nik? said:
L K said:
The cupboard certainly wasn't full when Burke came in, but to call it complete devoid is a little unfair.

Well, I think it's kind of indicative of the whole problem with trying to rate prospects in the first place. The impression that JFJ left "nothing" comes from how things looked at the time. When JFJ was fired nobody would have looked at a 7th round pick like Carl Gunnarsson as a really good prospect despite the fact that he was and it's an impression that has persisted even though we're now starting to see the fruits of those drafts.

That's why, to me at least, it's so pointless when people try to defend the job Burke has done on the basis of how he's "built" the farm system. Until it actually starts paying dividends for the NHL team it's a suspect accomplishment at best.

This is true.

Like most people on here I have been guilty (on many occasions) of making assessments on-the-fly.  Hey, it's hockey chatboard, not a dissertation defense ... but still, the only way to truly assess someone's impact as GM is to look at the bottom line.

That's why the "received wisdom" that BB is doing such a superior job to JFJ is pretty content-empty at this point.  JFJ didn't take us anywhere, and so far neither has Burke.  That could change as early as this upcoming season (but I'll be surprised if it does).
 
Nik? said:
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
Hey, it's hockey chatboard, not a dissertation defense

Exactly. This is way more important.

I think it was Henry Kissinger who once said something to the effect of "Academic disputes are especially vicious because the stakes are so low."
 
L K said:
In that 4 year time period he/Fletcher drafted:

Frattin, Gunnarsson, Kulemin, Rask, Reimer, Schenn, Stalberg, Stralman, and Tlusty who have seen significant time in the NHL

Holzer, Komarov, Hayes are guys pushing at the door of NHL ice time too.

When Burke came in, all of those players except Rask were with the team.

The cupboard certainly wasn't full when Burke came in, but to call it complete devoid is a little unfair.

The flip side could be that in 4 years, Burke has had 1 draft pick play for the team.  It's just as unfair of a statement to make because so many of those guys are still in junior/college hockey.  Ferguson's better picks were European/college players who took time to come over to the NA pro game so they didn't make an immediate impact on the NHL roster.

We have prospects, but they are every bit a question mark for being a sign of future team success until they actually do something beyond the CHL.

Couple of thoughts on this.

1. Dave Morrisson has been head of amateur scouting and heads up the draft for the Leafs, and has done so since JFJ's time.  I said it back then it was one of JFJ's best moves to make the changes he did to the scouting dept.  It wasn't a popular move to fire the beloved Barry Trapp back then.  Burke kept him on, obviously feeling the work he and his team were doing was good stuff and only helped augment the staff with a bigger budget and focus.  I think this is a big part of why the team has a good collection of draft picks in the NHL and a good group currently in the system too.  Under JFJ the Leafs had some good picks but it's what happened post-draft is where the mistakes were made.

2. One of the single biggest flaws this team has had since the 80's was terrible development. Its one thing to draft but a whole other to develop your prospects properly. I think this is one area where Burke's changes have made major impact and is a key reason why the names you mention above have made the NHL.  Even personally where Burke got involved to help a kid like Frattin who was a kid in trouble outside of hockey and had him re-dedicate to the game.  Eakins (also retained) has been an a huge reason too. Keeping young players down longer or even a little too long is something we never had.  The development and patience is there like never before.  If only Burke had gotten here before Schenn was kept up in his first year, things may have turned out much better for him.  Kadri is another example where the extra time does a lot of good.

That development success is one of the reasons why I have a lot of faith in what Burke is doing and many of the picks he has made panning out.  A pick needs to be given 4-5 years before we can truly judge.
 
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
That's why the "received wisdom" that BB is doing such a superior job to JFJ is pretty content-empty at this point.

Well, it's faith-based. It's how much stock you want to put in the persona and the reputation. I appreciate that there are some people out there who are going to view that sort of assessment as part of being a deeper or more knowledgeable fan but I think that almost always when that gets dissected it's almost always on the basis of more qualitative statements or talking about results without a control group.

I'm a bitter old cynic these days. Alls I knows is the Maple Leafs and, yeah, content-free describes it.
 
Corn Flake said:
We've noticed.  :o

Just so I'm clear, is that "we" as in the Maple Leafs guerrilla marketing team or are you speaking for the entire commonwealth, your majesty?
 
Nik? said:
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
That's why the "received wisdom" that BB is doing such a superior job to JFJ is pretty content-empty at this point.

Well, it's faith-based. It's how much stock you want to put in the persona and the reputation. I appreciate that there are some people out there who are going to view that sort of assessment as part of being a deeper or more knowledgeable fan but I think that almost always when that gets dissected it's almost always on the basis of more qualitative statements or talking about results without a control group.

I'm a bitter old cynic these days. Alls I knows is the Maple Leafs and, yeah, content-free describes it.

What?  Nooo...  Get outta here!  You?
 
jonlleafs said:
What?  Nooo...  Get outta here!  You?

Well, aside from being late to the party to comment on something I said to be self-effacing, that was a really good try.
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
Corn Flake said:
Kadri is another example where the extra time does a lot of good.

Why is Kadri an example of that?

I said all that and you jump on that point? :P

They dealt with Kadri like a prospect should be instead of promoting him when he wasn't physically ready or being responsible in his own end.  He's now finally training to get strong enough to play in the NHL. It seems he now recognizes the work he needs to put in to make the show.  If this were the old days, I bet he would have been up after that first camp where he dazzled everyone with his skill, got pushed around and struggled.  He probably wouldn't have put the work in because he would have already been there.

It still remains to be seen whether he will make it this year but I bet he does and I think a big part is not bringing him up until he was ready.  Maybe overly ready but erring on the side of taking your time is not something this organization has ever really done... ever before.
 
Corn Flake said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
Corn Flake said:
Kadri is another example where the extra time does a lot of good.

Why is Kadri an example of that?

I said all that and you jump on that point? :P

They dealt with Kadri like a prospect should be instead of promoting him when he wasn't physically ready or being responsible in his own end.  He's now finally training to get strong enough to play in the NHL. It seems he now recognizes the work he needs to put in to make the show.  If this were the old days, I bet he would have been up after that first camp where he dazzled everyone with his skill, got pushed around and struggled.  He probably wouldn't have put the work in because he would have already been there.

It still remains to be seen whether he will make it this year but I bet he does and I think a big part is not bringing him up until he was ready.  Maybe overly ready but erring on the side of taking your time is not something this organization has ever really done... ever before.

Yeah, I agree and I hope for the organization's sake that it will finally pay off.  Kadri has the skills but just getting his head straight and maturing and getting stronger was definitely what he needed.  Crossing my fingers that he has a breakthrough season and explodes on the scoring sheet.
 
jonlleafs said:
Hey I can't be on here 24/7.  Someone's gotta work to pay the bills.  :P

No it was not bad. You're on the road to being a regular wit. Only the second half left to go.
 
Corn Flake said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
Corn Flake said:
Kadri is another example where the extra time does a lot of good.

Why is Kadri an example of that?

I said all that and you jump on that point? :P

They dealt with Kadri like a prospect should be instead of promoting him when he wasn't physically ready or being responsible in his own end.  He's now finally training to get strong enough to play in the NHL. It seems he now recognizes the work he needs to put in to make the show.  If this were the old days, I bet he would have been up after that first camp where he dazzled everyone with his skill, got pushed around and struggled.  He probably wouldn't have put the work in because he would have already been there.

It still remains to be seen whether he will make it this year but I bet he does and I think a big part is not bringing him up until he was ready.  Maybe overly ready but erring on the side of taking your time is not something this organization has ever really done... ever before.

Okay, I understand now.  I thought you were saying that they took their time with Kadri, and look it paid off.  I still think it's too early to tell if he is ready or not.  By not rushing him however, at least the Leafs can say that they don't have a definitive answer yet. 
 

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