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Armchair GM 2016-2017

Looking for a thread that contains Armchair GM ideas for who to protect and who to expose for the Las Vegas expansion draft.  I thought I saw some ideas but wonder if they were in this thread.  Anyone know?
 
CarltonTheBear said:
One thing to keep in mind with Kapanen is that he's still pretty young. I mean, we just drafted 2 players in June who are actually OLDER than he is, plus a 3rd who is only 7 days younger. This will be his 4th season playing professional hockey, but he's never been the go-to player on any of his teams. Getting a chance to do that in the AHL for a year would likely be beneficial for his career.

Yeah, I see him as a callup late in the year if the Leafs trade guys like Bozak/JVR/Komarov but nothing more than that this year.

What might complicate that is if the Leafs made a few trades where they would trade someone like JVR but take back a guy who has a contract for next year for purposes of exposing them on the expansion draft.
 
Britishbulldog said:
Looking for a thread that contains Armchair GM ideas for who to protect and who to expose for the Las Vegas expansion draft.  I thought I saw some ideas but wonder if they were in this thread.  Anyone know?

I guess coming up with those ideas here are as good a place as any, given its gonna be a very real part of Armchair GM'ing. :)
 
Well here is the strategy I think I would suggest to decide how to approach the Las Vegas expansion draft:

From all the players under contract remove the pending UFAs and Horton's LITR contract as they are exempt -

Forwards:
Brooks Laich
Milan Michalek
Colin Greening 
Ben Smith

Defense:
Roman Polak
Matt Hunwick
Stephane Robidas
Andrew Campbell 

Goalies:
Jhonas Enroth 

Exempt:
Nathan Horton

Look at the remaining players on this young team to see who are qualify to be the 2 eligible forwards, 1 eligible defense and 1 eligible goalie to see who we suggest to expose.  My suggestions to expose are bolded:


Eligible Forwards
Nazem Kadri
JVR if he plays 7 more games 
Tyler Bozak
Leo Komarov
Matt Martin

Peter Holland

Eligible Defense 
Morgan Rielly
Jake Garderner
Martin Marincin

Eligible Goalies
Frederik Andersen
Antoine Bibeau
Garret Sparks

Here is the list of players who need to be protected:


Forwards
Joffery Lupul
Nazem Kadri
JVR 
Tyler Bozak
Leo Komarov
Matt Martin
Peter Holland
Kerby Rychel
Connor Brown
Brendan Leipsic
Josh Leivo
Byron Froese

Defense 
Morgan Rielly
Jake Garderner
Martin Marincin 
Connor Carrick
Victor Loov
Frank Corrado

Goalies
Frederik Andersen
Antoine Bibeau
Garret Sparks

Since most of the Leafs talent is young forwards I would approach the expansion draft with the 8 skaters and 1 goalie strategy rather than the 7 forwards, 3 defense and 1 goalie strategy.

If JVR gets moved for a defense man then this strategy is even more prefered in my perspective. So hoping this kind of trade happens I would protect the following:

Kadri, Bozak, Brown, Rychel, Rielly, Gardiner, JVR Trade, Carrick, Andersen.

Add them to:
Matthews, Nylander, Marner, Hyman, Kapanen, Soshnikov, and Zaitsev

I would expect Las Vegas to take Matt Marincin meaning the additional players under contract to the Leafs July 2nd would be:
Komarov,
Martin,
Leivo

12 forwards, 5 defense men and 1 goalie.

....and if JVR doesn't get traded for a defense man then the 7 forwards, 3 defense and 1 goalie protected is back in play:

Kadri, Bozak, JVR, Rychel, Brown, Leipsic, Leivo, Rielly, Gardiner, Carrick, Andersen
 
I'd pass on Rychel there, Komarov would be likely more valuable in a trade, and currently I don't see the Leafs keeping Leivo over Martin. Otherwise, pretty much agree.
 
Tigger said:
I'd pass on Rychel there, Komarov would be likely more valuable in a trade, and currently I don't see the Leafs keeping Leivo over Martin. Otherwise, pretty much agree.

The kicker regarding Komarov and Martin is that they meet the criteria of eligibility.  The only other forwards are Kadri, JVR, Bozak and Holland.  Holland might be gone soon in a trade or waivers.  If the Leafs do trade Komarov, which I am impartial to, and Holland is gone then the Leafs need to expose 2 of: Kadri, JVR, Bozak and Martin.

That's what I was trying to show up above.  Where some teams are trying to figure out how to protect as many eligible players as possible, the Leafs are close to needing players who are eligible if any trades are made.

That is why I thought Holland was re-signed and why I thought he was going to be part of the team going forward.  The Leafs have hardly enough players who qualify for the expansion draft so that key players can be protected.

The Leafs must really be banking on Marincin as the player getting picked.
 
The expansion draft probably doesn't get talked about very much because there's still so much time between then and now and so much can change. Look at how many bodies we picked up in the 2nd part of last season. I don't know how they'll do it, but I'm pretty confident the Leafs will make sure all of Bozak/Martin/Komarov are protected. They'll pick up players to make sure they can exposed forwards who meet the criteria.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
The expansion draft probably doesn't get talked about very much because there's still so much time between then and now and so much can change. Look at how many bodies we picked up in the 2nd part of last season. I don't know how they'll do it, but I'm pretty confident the Leafs will make sure all of Bozak/Martin/Komarov are protected. They'll pick up players to make sure they can exposed forwards who meet the criteria.

Yup. Really, we won't really have any real clarity about the situation until after the trade deadline.
 
https://twitter.com/IgorEronko/status/808720391808188417

This one is pretty soft, as far as rumours go, as Tkachyov has only indicated interest in coming to North America, but hasn't been in direct contact with the Leafs yet, so I'm not going to bother with a separate thread.

http://theleafsnation.com/2016/12/13/leafs-have-interest-in-khl-forward-vladimir-tkachyov
http://www.eliteprospects.com/player.php?player=77117

If he were to come over, it would be on a 1-year ELC (a la Zaitsev). He's a 23 year old leftie Centre with good faceoff numbers, average size, slick hands, and good along the boards, with a nose for the net-front.

As mentioned in the TLN article, the Leafs have very little centre depth beyond our NHL roster: Adam Brooks, Byron Froese, Fredrick Gauthier, Colin Smith, Trevor Moore, and much less likely candidates in Dominic Toninato, Tony Cameranesi, and Dakota Joshua.
 
I'm gonna spitball a trade proposal of JVR, Kapanen, Polak for Jared Spurgeon.  Too pricey?

Why it makes sense:

The Wild could really use some offensive help to secure a playoff spot and JVR would be an offensive upgrade to both Parise and Zucker in their top six LW situation.

They also get the benefit of a blue chip RW prospect in Kapanen and a functional RHD shutdown replacement in Polak until season's end.

Leafs secure their top 4 with Rielly, Spurgeon, Gardiner, Zaitsev.
 
TBLeafer said:
I'm gonna spitball a trade proposal of JVR, Kapanen, Polak for Jared Spurgeon.  Too pricey?

Why it makes sense:

The Wild could really use some offensive help to secure a playoff spot and JVR would be an offensive upgrade to both Parise and Zucker in their top six LW situation.

They also get the benefit of a blue chip RW prospect in Kapanen and a functional RHD shutdown replacement in Polak until season's end.

Leafs secure their top 4 with Rielly, Spurgeon, Gardiner, Zaitsev.

I think it's an overpayment.

If they acquire a dman I suspect it'll be a #4-#6 type who is on an expiring deal, I don't think they'll risk losing a top 4 dman to expansion.
 
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
TBLeafer said:
I'm gonna spitball a trade proposal of JVR, Kapanen, Polak for Jared Spurgeon.  Too pricey?

Why it makes sense:

The Wild could really use some offensive help to secure a playoff spot and JVR would be an offensive upgrade to both Parise and Zucker in their top six LW situation.

They also get the benefit of a blue chip RW prospect in Kapanen and a functional RHD shutdown replacement in Polak until season's end.

Leafs secure their top 4 with Rielly, Spurgeon, Gardiner, Zaitsev.

I think it's an overpayment.

If they acquire a dman I suspect it'll be a #4-#6 type who is on an expiring deal, I don't think they'll risk losing a top 4 dman to expansion.

Aren't we allowed to protect 7F and 4D?

https://www.nhl.com/gamecenter/fla-vs-min/2016/12/13/2016020438#game=2016020438,game_state=final,game_tab=stats

Height is his only knock.  He's become Boudreau's TOP pairing all situations D in every sense of the word, on a defensive juggernaut team, paired with Suter and trusted both on PP and PK.
 
I stand corrected at 3 D.  Is Zaitsev exempt because he wasn't under an NHL contract?  He has the pro league experience requirement...
 
TBLeafer said:
Would you mind exposing Carrick if we added Spurgeon?

I can't pretend to be an expert on Spurgeon. At a very quick glance I'd say these are my quick hits:

1. I'm not wowed by his numbers, conventional or otherwise

2. He's got a good contract but he's a little old for my tastes in terms of fitting in with this current core

3. Eitherway, exposing Carrick should be reflected as an element of the trade and if it could cost us JVR, Kapanen and Carrick I'd probably want a slightly bigger prize.
 
Nik the Trik said:
I can't pretend to be an expert on Spurgeon. At a very quick glance I'd say these are my quick hits:

1. I'm not wowed by his numbers, conventional or otherwise

2. He's got a good contract but he's a little old for my tastes in terms of fitting in with this current core

3. Eitherway, exposing Carrick should be reflected as an element of the trade and if it could cost us JVR, Kapanen and Carrick I'd probably want a slightly bigger prize.

Thinking a little more heavily on it, I'd probably take Kapanen out and replace him with a 2nd.

The point is add an all situations true #2 D, which is what Spurgeon has developed into and solidify our top 4 for future contention.

We're good on offence moving forward.
 

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