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Highlander said:Good article from Mirtle about goalies not playing back to back games, even the very best see their save percentages go down (not dramatically but down), so statically proven to be better to break up the back to back games and Leafs have a lot more of those to deal with this year.
Worked on Saturday!
Highlander said:Good article from Mirtle about goalies not playing back to back games, even the very best see their save percentages go down (not dramatically but down), so statically proven to be better to break up the back to back games and Leafs have a lot more of those to deal with this year.
Worked on Saturday!
Statistically speaking, it?s almost never a good decision to start a goalie two nights in a row, and Bernier had started in Columbus on Friday.
Eric Tulsky, a hockey statistician and Harvard grad who?s now crunching numbers for NHL teams, did the definitive work on this question back in 2013. He compared the save percentages of rested goalies playing the second game of a back-to-back to tired goalies playing the second game and found that the rested goalies outperformed them dramatically.
On average, the tired goalies? save percentage was only .901, well below the league average. The rested goalies? was .912, which is closer to what you should expect from a capable backup. That?s a difference of preventing an extra goal every three games, which really adds up over a season.
This is a good of thumb for the Leafs to keep in mind, in particular, as they have 18 back-to-backs this year, tied for the third most in the NHL. The team?s new analytics group will likely advise coach Randy Carlyle that those should be 18 guaranteed starts for Reimer, regardless of how well Bernier is playing.
L K said:What bothers me about commentator discussion on Reimer is that he doesn't have a bad glove hand...he does struggle to catch pucks with the glove, but he doesn't get beat high glove any more than the average goaltender. It's definitely not his stretch but to characterize it as this massive weakness is silly. You don't put up a career .915 SV% with >100GP if you have a fundamental flaw in your game. NHL players are too good to not exploit something like that.
sickbeast said:Reimer played great yesterday but Bernier nearly put up two shutouts in a row last week. Even against weak teams that is impressive.
I think that both of them are great. I say just keep things going the way they are right now. If one of them has a bad night, give the other goalie a chance to play a couple of games.
Joe S. said:sickbeast said:Reimer played great yesterday but Bernier nearly put up two shutouts in a row last week. Even against weak teams that is impressive.
I think that both of them are great. I say just keep things going the way they are right now. If one of them has a bad night, give the other goalie a chance to play a couple of games.
He only had 1 shutout
L K said:What bothers me about commentator discussion on Reimer is that he doesn't have a bad glove hand...he does struggle to catch pucks with the glove, but he doesn't get beat high glove any more than the average goaltender. It's definitely not his stretch but to characterize it as this massive weakness is silly. You don't put up a career .915 SV% with >100GP if you have a fundamental flaw in your game. NHL players are too good to not exploit something like that.
Tiger Williams said:What scares me is if the Leafs traded one of them away for a #1 or #2 centre -