sickbeast said:
Well the thing is, even if everything does go right and the Jays can claim the wild card, they will still have to beat the Yankees. Picture Judge and Stanton hitting back to back in the Yankees lineup. They are going to light it up. I just can't see the Jays beating the Yankees this year in any capacity. Toronto fans aren't stupid, either. The fans are going to be extremely upset if they parade the same team out there as they had last season and they lose again. The fans would tolerate a full and proper rebuild better than that. If they try to scramble and rebuild at the end of next season I don't think they will be able to do it properly. There's just not enough time. I guess they could get something at the trade deadline for Donaldson. Beyond him I'm not too sure though. We gave up a top pitching prospect for each deadline piece that we acquired.
I more or less agree with you strategically. Where I don't necessarily agree with you is with the idea of fans as a monolith in anyway or another. Yes, some fans will not be happy with the Jays even if they make a wild card because they have a very small chance of then making real noise in the playoffs and they'll have lost a year in what would be a rebuild.
That said, there are a lot of casual fans who would just be happy with meaningful September baseball. Maybe a little bit of scoreboard watching. You or I could say that those fans are wrong or misguided if we want but there is a large segment of the ticket buying public who really don't think about things like long-term planning or a team's prospect base. Heck, a lot of fans are kids and try explaining a long term rebuild to someone under the age of 12 and watch their eyes glaze over.
So, again, I think you're right in terms of what strategy would bring the team to a state where they would be real championship contenders in the least amount of rebuilding time I don't necessarily agree that "the fans" wouldn't give a range of opinions on it. We can not like Rogers making moves with an eye on the budget sheet but we should at least be fair with what those costs are. If the Jays tank it, and really tank, and lose 90-95 games next year then attendance and viewership will sink and significantly so.
sickbeast said:
I think the monkey wrench in all of this is management's insistence that they get major league talent *and* prospects for Donaldon.
That depends on what they mean there. I think, for the purposes of tanking and rebuilding, that a talented 21 or 22 year old player is significantly more valuable than a prospect just because you have a pretty good idea that someone of value will still be around when the team is competing again but probably won't be good enough to win many games on their own.
A good example of this is the Astros. Back when they were losing 100 games a year they weren't devoid of young MLB talent. They still had guys like Altuve and Keuchel around in pre-superstar mode(or in Keuchel's case just being outright bad). If that's the sort of "major league talent" the Jays are looking to add for Donaldson I think that's a good idea.