Bender said:
Potvin29 said:
Bender said:
Zee said:
bustaheims said:
Winning the OHL scoring title as an older junior doesn't necessarily mean much. A number of guys that never amounted to much have done it. I'm optimistic about Brown, and he could just be a late bloomer, but, he could also be another Peter Sarno/Sheldon Keefe/Corey Locke/Robbie Schremp/etc. I guess I'm just saying that we shouldn't over-rate this accomplishment. It's great and all for him on a personal level, but, in terms of it being a predictor of future success . . . well, it ain't one.
He was a 6th round pick, so unless scouts were totally wrong about him, he probably won't be a significant NHL player, if he makes it at all.
You'd look at good work by Kaberle, Zetterberg, Datsyuk taken in later rounds and assume their future based on draft choice rather than accomplishments and analysis of their skill on the ice?
It's more likely to happen with European players than CHL players who have a very hard time flying under the radar + aren't facing off in men's leagues (in some cases, not all).
Sure, but I don't think looking at draft position and stating they have an outside shot at making the NHL without looking at their play and skills and improvements they've made makes a whole lot of sense. We're dealing with a specific player than a generality.
By that line of reasoning I could say Bozak went undrafted and will probably not amount to much, but in his case I would argue that you'd have to look at his play and assess whether it could translate over to the next level or not.
That's why it was said "probably" - it's unlikely, based on the hundreds and hundreds that have come before him, that he will be one of the exceptions to the rule. It's not impossible, but it's unlikely.
One of the prospect guys, Corey Pronman, says Brown has developed a lot since his draft year but still has skating & defensive issues, FWIW.