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Ranking Prospects 2018-19

WEBSITE FIGHTTTT

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https://twitter.com/dcmahiban/status/1035169000957861889

https://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/2018/8/30/17799992/toronto-maple-leafs-announce-2018-rookie-showcase-roster-montreal-canadiens-ottawa-senators-prospect

Good breakdown of the names on the list, especially the ones we haven't had much knowledge of previously. Most, if not all the 'new' names have been on Dubas'/Gilman's radar in some way shape or form (Solar Bears, Marlies, Greyhounds). Most notable is probably Stefan Leblanc (22 y.o. LD), who went undrafted, but signed a Marlies contract for this coming season.

Obviously, our draft picks are out in force, including Jesper Lindgren who most recently departed the Calder Cup run to work out in Sweden, J.J. Piccinich who was drafted forever ago, hasn't made it yet (basically won't), but is still hanging around, and Rasmus Sandin who was our first rounder this year and indicated a preference for playing in the SHL for the coming season (he's already taken some preseason games with Rogle). It'll be a good chance to see how the 2018 class stacks up with the previous picks.

Dubas using the Soo Greyhounds as a fishing hole is interesting (see CHL import draft invitee Roman Pucek). The optics scream nepotism, but he doesn't seem to care (and it's not like it's his only intake route). Judging from afar with 0 information, I'd say if you personally built up a player identification and development program that you trust and has been effective, yeah, why wouldn't you fish there.
 
Are prospects not players in our system, but not yet on the team?. If so them why are players on the Leafs on this list.
 
nutman said:
Are prospects not players in our system, but not yet on the team?. If so them why are players on the Leafs on this list.

It's the top 25 under 25 list so anyone under 25 can make the list.
 
Andy said:
nutman said:
Are prospects not players in our system, but not yet on the team?. If so them why are players on the Leafs on this list.

It's the top 25 under 25 list so anyone under 25 can make the list.

Kudos for taking 11 pages to get to this topic again.
 
Well then they should not be called prospects. Imo if you are on the Leafs you are not a prospect, you are one of the team.
 
nutman said:
Are prospects not players in our system, but not yet on the team?. If so them why are players on the Leafs on this list.

This thread is labelled prospects.  It includes links and discussion regarding prospects and prospect-like lists.  The T25U25 that PPP puts out is simply that, the top 25 players in the organization that are under 25.  They don't call it a prospects list.  Instead of starting a new thread to discuss that specific list from PPP, we've decided to include it in this thread since the majority of the list would be considered prospects.  We're sorry if that bothers you so much.
 
You're more knowledgeable on this stuff herman, as well as others here, so who has the best up and coming system in NHL hockey at the moment?

I know the Leafs have a hell of a young core under 25, but who are they up against in the next 4-5 years, in your opinion?
 
Winnipeg for sure: Scheifele (25), Ehlers, Connor, Laine, Trouba (if they can keep him)
Philly looks very good: Couturier (25), Gostisbehere, Provarov, Konecny, Patrick, Sanheim
Columbus: Jones, Werenski, Dubois, Wennberg
Buffalo now: Eichel, Dahlin, Mittelsadt, Reinhart, Nylander (sort of)
Vancouver, still missing top flight D and C but halfway there with: Boeser, Pettersson, Horvat. They?ll still screw it up though.
Vegas has a nice start: Karlsson (25), Tuch, Miller (25), Theodore, Brannstrom, Hague, Suzuki, Glass

There's probably one or two more that I'm less familiar with.

Leafs in comparison: Matthews, Nylander, Marner, Rielly, Liljegren, Dermott, Kapanen/Johnsson/Brown sort of. What really helps the Leafs is the next layer up of veterans are Tavares, Kadri, Gardiner who all still drive results and will for the next 3-4 years at least.
 
Just reading a Star article about Dermott, it was saying the Subbans lad was looking good the "Jordan Subban looked tremendous at the BioSteel camp this week, and could turn heads at the Leafs? camp"
Lets hope he turns out to be a pleasant surprise.
 
Coco-puffs said:
nutman said:
Are prospects not players in our system, but not yet on the team?. If so them why are players on the Leafs on this list.

This thread is labelled prospects.  It includes links and discussion regarding prospects and prospect-like lists.  The T25U25 that PPP puts out is simply that, the top 25 players in the organization that are under 25.  They don't call it a prospects list.  Instead of starting a new thread to discuss that specific list from PPP, we've decided to include it in this thread since the majority of the list would be considered prospects.  We're sorry if that bothers you so much.

I'm going to add a non-semantic argument to this, because it comes up pretty much every year from someone who prefers to draw distinct lines around the NHL and it's worth discussing.

Justin Bourne recently wrote about the distinction between NHL and AHL players.

Hockey talent isn?t neatly split into two columns: one NHL and one AHL. Instead it?s more like two sides of a folded piece of paper that?s being cut down the middle by a toddler ? it veers in unpredictable ways. It?s the same in deciding who gets a shot in the NHL and who doesn?t. Around the fringes, an awful lot comes down to chance.

For the players along the fold, there are many factors in determining what makes them millionaires and what doesn?t.  Those factors include: Being drafted or not (the bias of being drafted in the minds of management is bizarrely powerful given the low success rates of late round picks), the late bloomer versus junior ?name player? and player familiarity to a GM with a roster hole. That?s not even taking into account things like salary, age, character, playing styles, team needs, off-ice habits and more. If enough of those boxes are checked for a team with a specific need, it can supersede hockey ability.

When we do a prospect ranking, or development program ranking, the ultimate goal is to gauge how healthy the talent pool that is on the upward half of their development curves is because that's the measurement of future success, not delineating whether a player qualifies as a prospect due to NHL time served. And that means taking into account players that have already exceeded the Calder trophy requirements alongside those that have not. Roster decisions are fickle and rife with obvious bias or situational criteria.
 
herman said:
Winnipeg for sure: Scheifele (25), Ehlers, Connor, Laine, Trouba (if they can keep him)
Philly looks very good: Couturier (25), Gostisbehere, Provarov, Konecny, Patrick, Sanheim
Columbus: Jones, Werenski, Dubois, Wennberg
Buffalo now: Eichel, Dahlin, Mittelsadt, Reinhart, Nylander (sort of)
Vancouver, still missing top flight D and C but halfway there with: Boeser, Pettersson, Horvat. They?ll still screw it up though.
Vegas has a nice start: Karlsson (25), Tuch, Miller (25), Theodore, Brannstrom, Hague, Suzuki, Glass

There's probably one or two more that I'm less familiar with.

A team I think is worth mentioning is Colorado. Mackinnon is only 23, Rantanen is 21, Landeskog is 25 and then they've got Jost, Makar and Ottawa's 1st coming up.

Carolina and Calgary also strike me as having pretty strong groups.
 
Nik the Trik said:
A team I think is worth mentioning is Colorado. Mackinnon is only 23, Rantanen is 21, Landeskog is 25 and then they've got Jost, Makar and Ottawa's 1st coming up.

Carolina and Calgary also strike me as having pretty strong groups.

How could I forget Colorado?! They also have Girard thanks to the Duchene deal.
 
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