Kin
New member
Andy007 said:Yes, it does. And your "also" or "in addition to" adds nothing to the original premise. The team is where it is because of the trade and trades Busta alluded to, not because their run-differential luck changed.
I don't really get what you mean by "run differential luck" because the premise is that a team's very good run differential is not a product of luck but, rather, that a team with a very good run differential but a not very good record has had bad luck.
Anyways, I think it's a combination of all of those factors. They made some trades and their luck got a little better. They're 41-14 since the Tulo trade. Being as the the best teams in Baseball history didn't win games at that clip it's not just a function of the quality of the team post-trade. Their historically bad luck pre-deadline has normalized a little and that plays a role.
They weren't quite as bad as they seemed pre-trade, they're not quite as good they seem post-trade. But what looking at run differential tells us is that things like that tend to balance out to some degree(they're still 7 games below their pythagorean W-L) and it has. Hooray!