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The Unofficial Fire Ron Wilson/Ron Wilson is the Greatest Thread

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Optimus Reimer said:
Bender said:
Optimus Reimer said:
Bender said:
Optimus Reimer said:
Bender said:
Optimus Reimer said:
Corn Flake said:
Optimus Reimer said:
Busta Reims said:
The team is in the midst of a rough stretch. It happens. And yet, they've still won 3 of their last 6 games. We're not exactly in end of the world, blow it all up territory here. I don't think anyone will tell you that the team has played well, but, before we start throwing coaches and players under the bus, let's look at things in perspective first and cut out the hyperbole. Let's also remember that different does not always mean better. Firing Wilson won't make the Leafs a better team in and of itself. Unless there's a clear choice out there that will make the players on the ice able to execute a system more effectively, play better defensively and generate more secondary scoring, it becomes change for the sake of change - and that doesn't actually benefit anybody.

I have always respected your posts - they are written with wisdom and insight, but I totally disagree with you on this one. 

If I am an opposing coach of a team facing the Leafs, I am going to emphasize on my players to forecheck, be agressive to the puck and to the puck carrier, skating hard and fast and to pressure the d-men.  I am going to emphasize muddling up the neutral zone, forcing the Leafs to shoot the puck in.  On the PK, I will emphasize to the players to keep the Leafs around the perimeter and cut down on the shooting lanes.  On the PP, I will emphasize passing the puck back and forth, thus forcing the Leaf players to play 'chase the puck'.  I will send at least one player to the front of the net during the PP, making it hard for the Leaf goalie to make the save and perhaps drawing another penalty by a Leafs defender.  At all times have my best defensive forward against Kessel.

If every team played that way against the Leafs, I guarantee the Leafs would not win many games, and that is why Wilson should be fired.  He cannot adapt the players to counter what other teams are doing to the Leafs.

In fairness, most coaches emphasize those things when they face any other team in the NHL and their respective best players, and not just the Leafs.

Unfortunately, that is how the Leafs are being beat and also unfortunately, the Leafs aren't doing any of those things on a consistent basis to win or at least be in the game.  And Wilson does not make any adjustments during the game to counter what the opposing teams are doing to the Leafs.

Like changing one sub-par goaltender for another sub-par goaltender.

I'm surprised we still haven't picked up on the song and dance.

The system and the goaltending go hand-in-hand.  A bad defensive system results in 30+ shots on the Leaf goalie every game.  A bad defensive system results in more scoring chances for the other team.  Bad goaltending results in more goals and shots that should have been easy to stop, go in.  That in turn results in the defensive system playing with caution and with little or no confidence in the goalie.  The defensive system ends up worse.

Instead of playing chase the puck, Leaf players should be more agressive towards opposing players in the defensive zone, forcing turnovers or forcing opposing players to take low risk shots.  That will result in less shots on goal, and hopefully less goals against.

Right. Have you seen the goaltending outside of last night's game? Goals were going in on non-scoring chances from both Gus and Scrivens. It's not a surprise that when he played well in Columbus we won, even while giving up more shots. The most successful Leafs teams in history have had goaltenders that were marquee players: Ed Belfour, Curtis Joseph, Felix Potvin in recent memory. Those goaltenders played above average in general and the Leafs statistics show it, even if they were getting outshot or outchanced. In the end the Leafs would do more with less BECAUSE they had stellar goaltending. It's not a surprise that after Raycroft, Toskala and an oft injured Giguere that we were playing respectable hockey under Reimer and now we are not under Gustavsson, and only starting to play half decent when Scrivens plays half decent or better.

There are definitely things that need fixing: Their goal scoring has dried up some, their defense isn't water tight, but imo, this doesn't START with special teams, or defense or goal scoring, it starts with the goaltender.

With those goalies the team had players such as Gilmour, Andreychuck, Sundin, Roberts, Niewy etc. and played hard nosed hockey during the Quinn years.  There was a system in place and during the Quinn years, the Leafs regularly were near 100 points...until JFJ took over. 

I played goalie for a long time, playing on teams that were stacked, average or offensively poor.  On teams in which the players were not offensively gifted, we lost most of those games 3-1, 2-0 etc.  My GAA was under 3.00 and my SV% was over .900.  I kept my team in the game, they couldn't keep their end of the bargain.       

You are absolutely correct when you say the team starts with the goalie.  A bad goalie=a bad team (Raycrap etc.), but I say that offence starts with defence and that is my point.  If the system in place makes it easy for other teams to have puck possession in the Leafs zone or the system makes it difficult for the defence to get the puck to the forwards, to start an offensive transition, then no matter who is in net, the Leafs will have a difficult time scoring goals and winning.

Agreed on almost all points, but I just have to say that the 97/98 Leafs were a pitiful team, but 98/99 the biggest addition was Cujo (and Quinn) and we became an incredible team. Coaching plays a big role in it, but I can't ignore the strength of Cujo.

And using the Red Wings as another example: (And I know this isn't foolproof as Osgood had bad numbers too, but...) Ty Conklin is 1-2-1 with a .885 SV%. Even their system can't mask a bad goaltender.

But the Wings will make the playoffs.  Leafs may not.

... ok.... And they're getting good goaltending from Jimmy Howard. A poor calibre goaltender will almost never be covered up by systems unless the team plays the trap. The only anomaly to the rule, for the most part, was Chris Osgood.
 
Tigger said:
...and a good Leafs team made Schwab a household name for a while but this isn't that team, like you say, they're not the Red Wings and need consistent decent goaltending right now where others may be able to get away with something less.

BINGO!
 
Doug MacLean was saying last night that Wilson might be an early candidate for the Adams trophy. Seems very premature to me, but the improving special teams is definitely cause for celebration, as that was everybody's #1 complaint. May be Cronin that deserves the credit for that though.
 
I'm in such a bind, the Leafs are making it harder and harder not to give Wilson an extension now.  The Komisarek injury might have been the last brilliant move by Wilson, he's forced to play Franson now and overall the defense looks better since Komisarek has been out. 
 
Fake Brian Burke:
BrianBurkeGM Brian Burke
Congrats to The Monster on a great game last night. Now sit your ass on the bench! How dare you win! Gotta love my retarded coach. #Leafs

I lol'd at this so hard.
 
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

I think that is probably the biggest concern for Wilson (& the team). If they continue to improve in that area (by maintaining a good PK clip), their GAA will improve, they'll win more and they're very likely to make the playoffs.

= Wilson gets extended

In my opinion, beyond that, the team is overachieving my expectations offensively.

I'm no gigantic Wilson fan but why not if Wilson's team pulls that off? The ultimate benchmark has to be wins and losses. If Wilson gets this club into the playoffs (and they were no sure thing when the season started), he will have earned that extension and hear no howling from me.

But until he shows that over a longer period of time, I wouldn't be in a hurry to sign him to that extension.
 
cw said:
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

Its tough to bring that stat up when you've spent 15-ish games at the bottom of the pile.  By my crude math, if they could run the PK at an 87% clip for the rest of the year they would manage to climb to about 11th in the league.  A little bit unrealistic to expect that kind of constant... I'd say if the Leafs can get the PK out of the bottom twenty by season's end, it will be about as much of an improvement as we are likely to see in the grand scheme of things.

 
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

Its tough to bring that stat up when you've spent 15-ish games at the bottom of the pile.  By my crude math, if they could run the PK at an 87% clip for the rest of the year they would manage to climb to about 11th in the league.  A little bit unrealistic to expect that kind of constant... I'd say if the Leafs can get the PK out of the bottom twenty by season's end, it will be about as much of an improvement as we are likely to see in the grand scheme of things.

Good point and I fully agree.

They were 28th last year. 30th the year before that. If they get it up to 20th, that's a respectable improvement from where they've been. That sort of improvement with how well their PP has been going and how well they've been scoring goals will probably reward them with a playoff berth.

Having said that, you need some sort of measurement to monitor how they're doing.
 
cw said:
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

Its tough to bring that stat up when you've spent 15-ish games at the bottom of the pile.  By my crude math, if they could run the PK at an 87% clip for the rest of the year they would manage to climb to about 11th in the league.  A little bit unrealistic to expect that kind of constant... I'd say if the Leafs can get the PK out of the bottom twenty by season's end, it will be about as much of an improvement as we are likely to see in the grand scheme of things.

Good point and I fully agree.

They were 28th last year. 30th the year before that. If they get it up to 20th, that's a respectable improvement from where they've been. That sort of improvement with how well their PP has been going and how well they've been scoring goals will probably reward them with a playoff berth.

Having said that, you need some sort of measurement to monitor how they're doing.

Yeah I guess the point is from an overall league perspective to evaluate it at year-end because there can be many hot and cold streaks for special teams throughout the year. 

Game in, game out you can see when the PK is helping or hurting the cause.
 
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

Its tough to bring that stat up when you've spent 15-ish games at the bottom of the pile.  By my crude math, if they could run the PK at an 87% clip for the rest of the year they would manage to climb to about 11th in the league.  A little bit unrealistic to expect that kind of constant... I'd say if the Leafs can get the PK out of the bottom twenty by season's end, it will be about as much of an improvement as we are likely to see in the grand scheme of things.

The top team in the league on PK last season finished with 86.1% efficiency.  I think that's something for the Leafs to shoot for.  I mean in the remaining 60 games let's see if we can be one of the top teams in PK and run it at 86-87%.  That would bring up the overall rank to about 10th-11th like you said (assuming the stats league wide are similar to last season).  Not only would we as fans be over the moon, that kind of success would probably mean the Leafs are a top team in the conference as well.
 
Zee said:
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

Its tough to bring that stat up when you've spent 15-ish games at the bottom of the pile.  By my crude math, if they could run the PK at an 87% clip for the rest of the year they would manage to climb to about 11th in the league.  A little bit unrealistic to expect that kind of constant... I'd say if the Leafs can get the PK out of the bottom twenty by season's end, it will be about as much of an improvement as we are likely to see in the grand scheme of things.

The top team in the league on PK last season finished with 86.1% efficiency.  I think that's something for the Leafs to shoot for.  I mean in the remaining 60 games let's see if we can be one of the top teams in PK and run it at 86-87%.  That would bring up the overall rank to about 10th-11th like you said (assuming the stats league wide are similar to last season).  Not only would we as fans be over the moon, that kind of success would probably mean the Leafs are a top team in the conference as well.

That would be real nice, but is it at all realistic?  I don't think so, not this year. 

This is the thing i don't understand about the expectations we set at times for this team.... how is asking them to run the final 70'ish games at the same clip as the best PK in the league when they have been one of the worst over the last few years?

15th-20th overall is realistic.
10th-15th would be really a significant improvement
better than that is a miracle.
 
Corn Flake said:
Zee said:
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

Its tough to bring that stat up when you've spent 15-ish games at the bottom of the pile.  By my crude math, if they could run the PK at an 87% clip for the rest of the year they would manage to climb to about 11th in the league.  A little bit unrealistic to expect that kind of constant... I'd say if the Leafs can get the PK out of the bottom twenty by season's end, it will be about as much of an improvement as we are likely to see in the grand scheme of things.

The top team in the league on PK last season finished with 86.1% efficiency.  I think that's something for the Leafs to shoot for.  I mean in the remaining 60 games let's see if we can be one of the top teams in PK and run it at 86-87%.  That would bring up the overall rank to about 10th-11th like you said (assuming the stats league wide are similar to last season).  Not only would we as fans be over the moon, that kind of success would probably mean the Leafs are a top team in the conference as well.

That would be real nice, but is it at all realistic?  I don't think so, not this year. 

This is the thing i don't understand about the expectations we set at times for this team.... how is asking them to run the final 70'ish games at the same clip as the best PK in the league when they have been one of the worst over the last few years?

15th-20th overall is realistic.
10th-15th would be really a significant improvement
better than that is a miracle.

Isn't that the whole point about trying to improve?  We've got a different makeup of defense/forwards this season, why not shoot for a stellar PK?  The Leafs have played 22 games, first 12 horrible PK, next 10 fantastic PK, I'll chalk up the first 12 to a "learning period" for all the new faces.  ;)
 
Something I noted in another thread is interesting to consider from last year too, while the Penguins had the best pk efficiency the Devils gave up the fewest ppg against while being 11th in pk%, they took the fewest penalties last year.

Not to say that the Leaf pk efficiency doesn't need to improve, it does as the Leafs were 9th in times shorthanded last year with abysmal ppg against and pk efficiency stats but this year they're 22nd in times shorthanded and fwiw, I think even meager positive strides in both areas would be beneficial.
 
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

Its tough to bring that stat up when you've spent 15-ish games at the bottom of the pile.  By my crude math, if they could run the PK at an 87% clip for the rest of the year they would manage to climb to about 11th in the league.  A little bit unrealistic to expect that kind of constant... I'd say if the Leafs can get the PK out of the bottom twenty by season's end, it will be about as much of an improvement as we are likely to see in the grand scheme of things.

Good point and I fully agree.

They were 28th last year. 30th the year before that. If they get it up to 20th, that's a respectable improvement from where they've been. That sort of improvement with how well their PP has been going and how well they've been scoring goals will probably reward them with a playoff berth.

Having said that, you need some sort of measurement to monitor how they're doing.

Yeah I guess the point is from an overall league perspective to evaluate it at year-end because there can be many hot and cold streaks for special teams throughout the year. 

Game in, game out you can see when the PK is helping or hurting the cause.

Slightly above average (15th place) since the lockout is 82.3%. If the Leafs did that for the balance of the season, they'd finish between 17th and 23rd based upon recent seasons with a 80.85% Pk rate for the season.

To me, that's a decent improvement and closer to something realistically achievable because it's so hard to expect a team that's been so bad at it for years and to start this season, to suddenly become one of the best in the league at it for the balance of the season.

If Wilson got his team to do something like that, it wouldn't be clear grounds for dismissal and given how they've been scoring is probably enough for them to make the playoffs.
 
cw said:
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
Corn Flake said:
cw said:
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=381099
Over the last ten games, the Leafs have killed off 32 of 37 opportunities (87 percent), but still sit 27th overall (76.7 percent)

And they've done that over the last 10 games with backup goalies!

Its tough to bring that stat up when you've spent 15-ish games at the bottom of the pile.  By my crude math, if they could run the PK at an 87% clip for the rest of the year they would manage to climb to about 11th in the league.  A little bit unrealistic to expect that kind of constant... I'd say if the Leafs can get the PK out of the bottom twenty by season's end, it will be about as much of an improvement as we are likely to see in the grand scheme of things.

Good point and I fully agree.

They were 28th last year. 30th the year before that. If they get it up to 20th, that's a respectable improvement from where they've been. That sort of improvement with how well their PP has been going and how well they've been scoring goals will probably reward them with a playoff berth.

Having said that, you need some sort of measurement to monitor how they're doing.

Yeah I guess the point is from an overall league perspective to evaluate it at year-end because there can be many hot and cold streaks for special teams throughout the year. 

Game in, game out you can see when the PK is helping or hurting the cause.

Slightly above average (15th place) since the lockout is 82.3%. If the Leafs did that for the balance of the season, they'd finish between 17th and 23rd based upon recent seasons with a 80.85% Pk rate for the season.

To me, that's a decent improvement and closer to something realistically achievable because it's so hard to expect a team that's been so bad at it for years and to start this season, to suddenly become one of the best in the league at it for the balance of the season.

We can always blame Keith Acton no?  :D
 
FAN 590 Interview with Wilson

Pretty good interview - above average in my opinion.

He talked about many things. One was the importance of adding Lupul to Kessel's line last season.

Another was how they defeated Tampa's 1-3-1.

Too many things for me to write up ... have a listen.  :)
 
"Our PP would get stuck and die on the midboards"... totally agree with that observation as well as the desire to use their speed to draw more penalties.

 
cw said:
FAN 590 Interview with Wilson

Pretty good interview - above average in my opinion.

He talked about many things. One was the importance of adding Lupul to Kessel's line last season.

Another was how they defeated Tampa's 1-3-1.

Too many things for me to write up ... have a listen.  :)

I like listening to him when he's calm and collected. Winning has a good effect of people. It's also encouraging that he is getting comments about how difficult the Leafs are to play against, and that our speed is hard to handle.

Thanks for posting cw.
 
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