Kin
New member
princedpw said:Nik the Trik said:I wouldn't do it. I don't like any of those UFAs enough(except Karlsson but I'm not thrilled with paying him that much past 34 or 35).
To some extent though it would depend on the team that made the offer sheet. But even then I think the Kessel rule should apply here in terms of future draft picks where you have to evaluate the trade in terms of the worst possible outcome re: the picks. Having 4 bonus 25-32 slot picks just doesn't seem that exciting.
I agree that the team making the offer would matter.
But why the Kessel rule? Why make your decision based only on the minimal possible return? As opposed to the range of returns or some model of expected value?
I'm not saying your only consideration should be whether or not it would still make sense in that situation, just that you should take that into consideration as a very real possibility. If so much of a trade's value is completely beyond your control and there are too many variables to come up with a realistic model of expected value that worst case scenario should always be in your mind.
It's, in a sense, like gambling. I'd really recommend that the first thing any gambler takes into consideration on a bet is whether or not they can afford to bust out.