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William Nylander

I think I'm going to need to see a lot more from an overage 4th round pick before I start talking about him as a sure thing we just need to wait on.
 
There's a reason Craig Button is no longer a GM in the league, and his Nylander argument just underscored that reason.
 
Nik the Trik said:
I think I'm going to need to see a lot more from an overage 4th round pick before I start talking about him as a sure thing we just need to wait on.

Brooks is legitimately too good for the WHL.
Funny thing, he is behind his teammate Sam Steel, who was picked 30th overall this summer by the Ducks with our pick for Andersen.
 
As Carlton pointed out, TSN has been trading Nylander all season long.  It's getting ridiculous.

I don't agree with Jeff O'Niell.  Just because wing is "easier" doesn't mean Nylander won't excel at Center once he gains more experience and strength, especially in a 2a/2b scenario with Kadri getting the tougher matchup/defensive zone starts. 

Adam Brooks is highly skilled and looks promising, but I'm not ready to say he's going to be an NHL player.  Yes he's scoring at a very high rate- but as an overager on a stacked team.  It will be interesting to see what he can do in the AHL next year.  Should he make the NHL in a couple of years, having Willie be a swiss army knife is a great thing to have.

That said, I'm not totally against trading Nylander.  The return would just have to be very good.

 
herman said:
Nik the Trik said:
I think I'm going to need to see a lot more from an overage 4th round pick before I start talking about him as a sure thing we just need to wait on.

Brooks is legitimately too good for the WHL.
Funny thing, he is behind his teammate Sam Steel, who was picked 30th overall this summer by the Ducks with our pick for Andersen.

I sure hope Brooks works out, but like Nik said, I'm not holding out hope that he's some coming star.    You mentioned Steel who is ahead of him, Steel turns 19 today, Brooks is turning 21 in May. 
 
herman said:
Nik the Trik said:
I think I'm going to need to see a lot more from an overage 4th round pick before I start talking about him as a sure thing we just need to wait on.

Brooks is legitimately too good for the WHL.
Funny thing, he is behind his teammate Sam Steel, who was picked 30th overall this summer by the Ducks with our pick for Andersen.

There have been many 19 year old / Overage players that have looked too good for the CHL.  That doesn't mean they are going to be NHL players.  Lets see what he can do against men, not boys, in the AHL next year.
 
I'm curious about this assertion, but I'm not currently in position to look it up at the moment. Can anyone link a chart or something?

Brooks led the WHL in scoring last season at 19 too.

Nik the Trik said:
herman said:
Brooks is legitimately too good for the WHL.

So are a lot of 20 year olds.
 
Why don't we start a Brooks thread? Already wanting to jettison Nylander is crazy. He is still a boy-man. Wait till the frame fills out with 20lbs of lean muscle and he builds his game.  I think he is going to be scary good in about 3-4 years.
 
Highlander said:
Why don't we start a Brooks thread? Already wanting to jettison Nylander is crazy. He is still a boy-man. Wait till the frame fills out with 20lbs of lean muscle and he builds his game.  I think he is going to be scary good in about 3-4 years.

Your frankly unsettling interest in his physique aside, there's a legitimate chance Nylander remains a fairly slight player. The Leafs and the NHL have him listed at 190. It's not a certainty, or even a likelihood, that he puts on 20 pounds.
 
Nik the Trik said:
Highlander said:
Why don't we start a Brooks thread? Already wanting to jettison Nylander is crazy. He is still a boy-man. Wait till the frame fills out with 20lbs of lean muscle and he builds his game.  I think he is going to be scary good in about 3-4 years.

Your frankly unsettling interest in his physique aside, there's a legitimate chance Nylander remains a fairly slight player. The Leafs and the NHL have him listed at 190. It's not a certainty, or even a likelihood, that he puts on 20 pounds.

And his combine weight was 169, so he's already gained his 20 pounds.

Nylander's physique also just shouldn't worry anyone. He's built a lot like Martin St. Louis was. His thighs are like tree trunks.
 
I was hoping after this season and next season that October 2018 would see Nylander filling Bozak's spot at center with Marner on his right wing and someone not named E Kane would be on his left wing. 

I have no desire to trade him or make any huge moves at this point in the rebuild.
 
herman said:
I'm curious about this assertion, but I'm not currently in position to look it up at the moment. Can anyone link a chart or something?

Brooks led the WHL in scoring last season at 19 too.

Nik the Trik said:
herman said:
Brooks is legitimately too good for the WHL.

So are a lot of 20 year olds.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Clarke_Trophy

11 of the 15 Players who led the WHL in scoring between 99-00 and 13-14 did not make the NHL (more than 40 games).  Note, Brendan Leipsic may reduce that number to 10. 

Players who led the WHL in scoring that also had NHL careers:

Linden Vey
Troy Brouwer
Eric Fehr
Erik Christensen

(Edited to fix my counting error and add the list of players who DID make the NHL)
 
Coco-puffs said:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Clarke_Trophy

11 of the 15 Players who led the WHL in scoring between 99-00 and 13-14 did not make the NHL (more than 40 games).  Note, Brendan Leipsic may reduce that number to 10. 

Players who led the WHL in scoring that also had NHL careers:

Linden Vey
Troy Brouwer
Eric Fehr
Erik Christensen

(Edited to fix my counting error and add the list of players who DID make the NHL)

Ooh, nice.

I'll roll back my excitement a tad and wait to see him on the Marlies.

In terms of junior overage dominance, is age the huge advantage driver, or is it size? Because Brooks is teenager sized even now and his emergence looks to be more a factor of deployment + size bias.
 
herman said:
Coco-puffs said:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Clarke_Trophy

11 of the 15 Players who led the WHL in scoring between 99-00 and 13-14 did not make the NHL (more than 40 games).  Note, Brendan Leipsic may reduce that number to 10. 

Players who led the WHL in scoring that also had NHL careers:

Linden Vey
Troy Brouwer
Eric Fehr
Erik Christensen

(Edited to fix my counting error and add the list of players who DID make the NHL)

Ooh, nice.

I'll roll back my excitement a tad and wait to see him on the Marlies.

In terms of junior overage dominance, is age the huge advantage driver, or is it size? Because Brooks is teenager sized even now and his emergence looks to be more a factor of deployment + size bias.

You may be picking the flyshit out of pepper here...that's a pretty discouraging trend there, because I too was hoping that Brooks was legit bank.
 
Frank E said:
You may be picking the flyshit out of pepper here...that's a pretty discouraging trend there, because I too was hoping that Brooks was legit bank.

That's a new phrase to me.

I still feel pretty safe banking on Brooks due to the way he was deployed on a stacked team and overlooked and underrated (size, age). He plays the way I see the Leafs trending.

The way I see it, we got a prospect with two free years of additional development at a crap-shoot pick slot, and his growth trend has been exponential. Compared to our 2014 picks where he would have normally been picked, his development is more than satisfactory. Of the players from that draft held back in junior, which ones have done better than he did last year as a 19 year old?

http://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/2016/8/3/12334780/top-25-under-25-the-case-for-adam-brooks
[Let's] look at forwards from the Canadian Hockey Leagues (OHL, WHL, and QMJHL.)  Take the forwards drafted in the first and second rounds those years.  Excluding those who went to the AHL/NHL, Brooks is 3rd in points per game of nine, ranking ahead of higher profile players like Josh Ho-Sang and John Quenneville.  In even-strength points per game, Brooks was 8th among 2014 draft-eligible players this year.  Even with league adjustments, that's impressive as hell.

And by the way, the player who's ranked 9th?  Christian Dvorak, whom Bleacher Report just ranked the 33rd-best hockey prospect in the world. Brooks is damn good right now.  The fact that his growth started later shouldn't detract from the fact that it's now caught up with--and may even have zoomed ahead of--his peers.
 
I think that a common Brooks comparison when he was drafted was Connor Brown. And I basically view Brooks with the same optimistic caution that I did with Brown during his junior career. I was happy with his results, but they didn't really mean much to me until he produced in the AHL.

It's worth pointing out too that Brown's 18 and 19 year junior season are actually a tad better statistically than Brooks' were. As 18-year olds it was 1.09 vs. 0.97 and as 19-year olds it was 1.88 vs. 1.67. As a 20-year old Brown led his AHL team in scoring while Brooks is running hog-wild in the WHL. Admittedly the comparison is a little tricky as Brown had McDavid with him as a 19-year old, but Brooks' 20-year old season has him on an absolutely dominant offensive team that actually sees him trailing Sam Steel by a few points.

But I think it's fair to say that if you compare their developments Brown has always either been slightly ahead of Brooks or roughly on par. If that holds, we should get a pretty effective middle-6 forward type player out of Adam Brooks. But Brown's biggest test came in his first AHL season, Brooks hasn't gotten that far yet. But if he does pass that like Brown did then we should get a pretty effective middle-6 type forward out of him. As far as 4th round picks go that's pretty good. But it's not really the type of player that makes a William Nylander expendable.
 
I remember a time not all that long ago when this team didn't have ANY skilled players like him in their system. I like Willie the Kid. Wicked shot, slick passer, deadly on the PP. Alex Steen was given up on far too soon. I think Nylander will be dynamite in a year or two.
 

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