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Tavares

If it was guaranteed you could have Tavares at 7 x 11M this summer OR wait a summer and have Doughty at 7 x 11M which would you choose? I would go with our area of weakness our defense and choose Doughty.
 
herman said:
I'd be okay going up to 12M for Tavares, even if it bites into our defense budget. The cap is set to go up next season. Holl is a cheaper and potentially better alternative to our other in-house options at the moment, and I'm hard pressed to find an affordable RD on the market that I'd be interested in (Frason maaaaybe). Liljegren is a season away, and he'll be <1M for three years (i.e. halfway through Tavares').

I think we have one of the best young winger groups in the league he could play with, with centre support behind (and in front of) him.

I'm not high on Holl or anything else RHD in the system... but I'd still go to $12m for Tavares. There's no RHD option out there that'd move the needle as much as JT, so that's where I'd look to make a substantial investment. If any of Tulloch's ideas for good RHD upgrades -- Pysyk, Demers, Petry, Gudas -- come to pass, great, and Tavares doesn't get in the way of that. If nothing like that happens, Tavares plus the existing guys in the system makes the team way better than anything else out there that I can see.
 
mr grieves said:
herman said:
I'd be okay going up to 12M for Tavares, even if it bites into our defense budget. The cap is set to go up next season. Holl is a cheaper and potentially better alternative to our other in-house options at the moment, and I'm hard pressed to find an affordable RD on the market that I'd be interested in (Frason maaaaybe). Liljegren is a season away, and he'll be <1M for three years (i.e. halfway through Tavares').

I think we have one of the best young winger groups in the league he could play with, with centre support behind (and in front of) him.

I'm not high on Holl or anything else RHD in the system... but I'd still go to $12m for Tavares. There's no RHD option out there that'd move the needle as much as JT, so that's where I'd look to make a substantial investment. If any of Tulloch's ideas for good RHD upgrades -- Pysyk, Demers, Petry, Gudas -- come to pass, great, and Tavares doesn't get in the way of that. If nothing like that happens, Tavares plus the existing guys in the system makes the team way better than anything else out there that I can see.
Regarding Demers: He played 21:08 per game and was just a -4, seems pretty remarkable on the Coyotes? Why would he be traded?
 
cabber24 said:
If it was guaranteed you could have Tavares at 7 x 11M this summer OR wait a summer and have Doughty at 7 x 11M which would you choose? I would go with our area of weakness our defense and choose Doughty.

Me too... But I suspect if he makes it to free agency and the Leafs sit out the Tavares bidding to wait on Doughty, we'll see JT to San Jose or Vegas announced at 12:01pm and Doughty's 8-year extension announced at 12:05.
 
Zee said:
Would be a risk for Tavares to take.  Say he signs said 1 year deal and then suffers a career ending injury in November.  Bye bye 8 year deal in Jan.  Long shot of happening but still, I'd think the player and agent would want the guarantee of a 7 year deal from another team (and 8 from the Islanders if he stays)

This here is why any talk of a 1 year deal with the promise of a longer term deal shall remain the territory of fantasy talk rather than reality.
 
pmrules said:
AvroArrow said:
1yr @ 14 with an implied agreement to re-sign for 8x10

I like this.

If you sign a UFA on July 1, can you re-sign that player to a multi year deal on July 2?

1 Year @ $14M on July 1 for 2018-2019
8 years @ $10M on July 2 which takes effect 2019-2020+.

It's in essence a 9 year deal.

That's something I could live with for Tavares.

I like that idea a lot. Of course, as busta says above, it's hard to imagine Tavares (or his agent) betting on himself like this... but it'd be a nice way to get Tavares a payday like that which he'd get from NYI (~$12m/year) without destroying the Leafs' ability to re-sign Matthews, Marner, etc and have a decent defense.

I would imagine the Leafs paying premiums on a $100m insurance policy on Tavares's future earnings in the event of a catastrophic injury would look a lot like tampering and cap circumvention.
 
bustaheims said:
Zee said:
Would be a risk for Tavares to take.  Say he signs said 1 year deal and then suffers a career ending injury in November.  Bye bye 8 year deal in Jan.  Long shot of happening but still, I'd think the player and agent would want the guarantee of a 7 year deal from another team (and 8 from the Islanders if he stays)

This here is why any talk of a 1 year deal with the promise of a longer term deal shall remain the territory of fantasy talk rather than reality.
I can't believe the risk he and Stamkos took playing out their contracts with so much money on the table. What if they suffered career ending injuries prior to season end? Totally wreckless?
 
cabber24 said:
bustaheims said:
Zee said:
Would be a risk for Tavares to take.  Say he signs said 1 year deal and then suffers a career ending injury in November.  Bye bye 8 year deal in Jan.  Long shot of happening but still, I'd think the player and agent would want the guarantee of a 7 year deal from another team (and 8 from the Islanders if he stays)

This here is why any talk of a 1 year deal with the promise of a longer term deal shall remain the territory of fantasy talk rather than reality.
I can't believe the risk he and Stamkos took playing out their contracts with so much money on the table. What if they suffered career ending injuries prior to season end? Totally wreckless?
Who says JT was even offered a contract? Maybe he wasn't. And if his desire is to leave NYI, he wouldn't sign there... There are a lot of players that play their contract out. Nylander did this year and by all accounts so will Marner and Matthews this year. JVR, Bozak, the same.
On the other part if they're offered a contract. They could be giving up substantial money signing a year early. A mill over 7 years is a lot of coin to add to your bank by waiting a year.
 
cabber24 said:
I can't believe the risk he and Stamkos took playing out their contracts with so much money on the table. What if they suffered career ending injuries prior to season end? Totally wreckless?

I can't believe the risk people take every day crossing the street. What if they're hit by a bus?
 
cabber24 said:
I can't believe the risk he and Stamkos took playing out their contracts with so much money on the table. What if they suffered career ending injuries prior to season end? Totally wreckless?

It's almost like there's a substantial difference between choosing a short-term deal instead of long-term security and waiting to put yourself in the best situation to achieve long-term security instead of taking an early offer to stay in a situation that maybe you're not happy with.
 
bustaheims said:
It's almost like there's a substantial difference between choosing a short-term deal instead of long-term security and waiting to put yourself in the best situation to achieve long-term security instead of taking an early offer to stay in a situation that maybe you're not happy with.

There's also a fairly mitigated level of risk when you're talking about a worst case scenario of having to live off the 30-40 million you've already earned instead of the 120-140 million you might earn in the future.
 
Nik the Trik said:
bustaheims said:
It's almost like there's a substantial difference between choosing a short-term deal instead of long-term security and waiting to put yourself in the best situation to achieve long-term security instead of taking an early offer to stay in a situation that maybe you're not happy with.

There's also a fairly mitigated level of risk when you're talking about a worst case scenario of having to live off the 30-40 million you've already earned instead of the 120-140 million you might earn in the future.

Still risky though, right?  I wonder if these guys carry insurance, beyond just the contract insurance, in case of career ending injuries.
 
Frank E said:
Still risky though, right?

Well, I don't really want to turn this into dictionary day but what are you tangibly risking in that scenario? Your second boat? The 3rd and 4th bedrooms in your Tuscan Villa?
 
Nik the Trik said:
Frank E said:
Still risky though, right?

Well, I don't really want to turn this into dictionary day but what are you tangibly risking in that scenario? Your second boat? The 3rd and 4th bedrooms in your Tuscan Villa?

First World problems ARE still problems, right?  Now if you'll pardon me I have to go plunge my gold-plated toilet. Bloody servants and their infernal days off!
 
Frank E said:
Still risky though, right?  I wonder if these guys carry insurance, beyond just the contract insurance, in case of career ending injuries.

Sure, but, it's still quite different from actively choosing to put yourself in that situation for another season. Every player will eventually be in the last year of their contract, but high-end players aren't often going to voluntarily put themselves in that situation for consecutive seasons (unless they're blatantly chasing a Cup, like Hossa tried to) - especially when they'll be presented with the prospect of increased financial security without risk of injury getting in the way of the imminent payday.
 
Dappleganger said:
These players, the higher end ones, have insurance not just for their current contract but for future earnings, no?

Teams have insurance on contracts. I assume individual players decide for themselves(or probably through their agents) how they want to approach their own futures.
 
Nik the Trik said:
Frank E said:
Still risky though, right?

Well, I don't really want to turn this into dictionary day but what are you tangibly risking in that scenario? Your second boat? The 3rd and 4th bedrooms in your Tuscan Villa?
Glad your not my accountant. An additional $90M into the Tavares fund could take care of generations of his family and go along with any charities of his choosing.

Tavares could have bought an insurance policy to protect himself though.

https://www.thestar.com/sports/leafs/2012/02/08/sidney_crosby_could_reap_20m_if_injuries_force_retirement.html
 
cabber24 said:
Glad your not my accountant. An additional $90M into the Tavares fund could take care of generations of his family and go along with any charities of his choosing.

He coulf set up large trusts for family members and give lots of money to charity with what he's already earned. Again, the additional money is largely an abstraction in that sense. Could it be used to take care of relatives who haven't been born yet? I suppose. Is there a tangible difference between giving a million dollars to a charity and giving 10 million to a charity? 

But the idea that a 25 or 26 year old athlete is going to be primarily concerned with those abstractions over, say, ultimately deciding for himself where he wants to live and play for the prime years of his career is pretty silly.
 

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