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Ukraine

bustaheims said:
I can only speak from my family's experience in South Africa, but, the longer these sanctions go, the more ways people will find to get around them. Even with the sanctions, South Africa had no real shortages of essentials or luxury products. For them to be effective, they need to have a strong and as immediate as possible an impact on the people in charge. You want to mobilize the Russian people? Sanctions are not the way to get that to happen. That requires more of a "hearts and minds" style campaign. There's a very good reason so many of these sanctions are targeted at Putin and his oligarch cronies - hitting them where it hurts is the only way they might force Putin to back down.

Mike from South Africa from the Plaidworks days?
 
L K said:
Blasts at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant.  Fires at the plant.  No international alarms at present to suggest any fear of core instability.

You don?t want nuclear devices fired by upsetting Putin, fine.  You don?t want to prevent the murder of women and children, fine.  Fear not Russia can destroy Europe with another Chernobyl that won?t be stoppable.  This is madness

Are you advocating for nuclear war?

I don't see any way to stop him that avoids mutually assured destruction.

Praying for someone domestically to put a bullet through his brain doesn't seem like a strategy, but I've yet to see another one that avoids the entire planet being incinerated.

Do you give Taiwan to the Chinese to bring him to heel? Is that even an option?

To be clear, I'm not trying to be argumentative here, I'm just clueless as to what more can be done.
 
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
L K said:
Blasts at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant.  Fires at the plant.  No international alarms at present to suggest any fear of core instability.

You don?t want nuclear devices fired by upsetting Putin, fine.  You don?t want to prevent the murder of women and children, fine.  Fear not Russia can destroy Europe with another Chernobyl that won?t be stoppable.  This is madness

Are you advocating for nuclear war?

I don't see any way to stop him that avoids mutually assured destruction.

Praying for someone domestically to put a bullet through his brain doesn't seem like a strategy, but I've yet to see another one that avoids the entire planet being incinerated.

Do you give Taiwan to the Chinese to bring him to heel? Is that even an option?

To be clear, I'm not trying to be argumentative here, I'm just clueless as to what more can be done.

No I get it.  I don?t find you argumentative at all.

I honestly don?t know.  Absolutely not advocating for nuclear war.

Where I am stuck is really in his credible a nuclear response is from Russia and what threshold engages it.  Independent fighters from Europe and America and the Middle East are joining up to fight.  Reports of 18000 but over 60,000 have applied.  Supposedly military artillery and money has been given to Ukraine from pretty much every Western Nation. The international sanctions have hurt local Russians but most Oligarchy have their finances divested from the Ruble. 

At what point does Russia consider what is going on ?war? with the rest of the world.  I don?t think the artillery fire that hit the power plant an intentional act but reckless stupidity could have very grave consequences for Europe and the world. 

Nuclear weapons have been viewed as a deterrent to war but here they are being used to enable a country to commit war crimes.  How many war crimes breaks the threshold of having gone too far?  The thought process behind the sanctions is to piss enough Russians off that they demand Putin stop or remove him.  What?s preventing him from firing a warhead if he feels he?s about to be ousted. 

I know NATO forces the hand based on treaties/agreements but let?s change it up.  Russia attacks the UK instead.  Should we not engage in military combat then because what if they fire nukes?  I really just want to know what the threshold is for action.  One country, two, five?  Ukraine isn?t a part of NATO but they were trying to move toward it and the EU.  Russia didn?t technically do anything with Belarus but LUkashenko is a Soviet plant forcing the country to be subservient to Putin so we are working on two countries already. 

I certainly don?t think that something like giving Taiwan to the Chinese is an option.  Further enabling another vile dictatorship seems counterproductive. 

I don?t want any war.  I?m just not really seeing a scenario here where Putin stops at this point. 
 
L K said:
Nuclear weapons have been viewed as a deterrent to war but here they are being used to enable a country to commit war crimes.  How many war crimes breaks the threshold of having gone too far?

Sort of why no one else does anything (other than join with) when the US takes military action against another country under the auspices of some higher moral ground.
 
L K said:
I don?t want any war.  I?m just not really seeing a scenario here where Putin stops at this point.

Same. Unless it becomes crystal clear to him that this is a failed endeavor (and I'm not sure he's every going to see it that way), I don't see him stopping at just taking over Ukraine. He's smart enough to not directly engage any members of NATO until he absolutely has to, but he's absolutely going to invade Moldova. Then, what's stopping him from doing the same with Georgia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, etc.? A direct armed conflict feel inevitable at this point.
 
https://twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1499736956674129923

?NATOs core task is to keep our 30 nations safe. We are not part of this conflict. And we have a responsibility to ensure it does not escalate & spread beyond Ukraine, because that would be even more devastating & dangerous, with even more human suffering?
 
To me, this suggests that the sanctions are having a huge impact:

https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/04/business/lukoil-end-war/index.html

Lukoil calls for end to war.

On the other hand, I read the grim news suggesting that no matter what we do Putin might decide he wants to nuke Ukraine anyway.
 
Significantly Insignificant said:
CarltonTheBear said:
That's so wild that there's a part of me that wonders if the picture might actually be fake.

Go look at Ovechkin's instragram avatar.

Yeah I know about that but what, did Ovi say he's going to break his contract and bolt to the KHL if he sees a blue and yellow flag in the stands? This decision would have had a lot more to do than just him.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Significantly Insignificant said:
CarltonTheBear said:
That's so wild that there's a part of me that wonders if the picture might actually be fake.

Go look at Ovechkin's instragram avatar.

Yeah I know about that but what, did Ovi say he's going to break his contract and bolt to the KHL if he sees a blue and yellow flag in the stands? This decision would have had a lot more to do than just him.

Oh yeah I agree.  It was more about the wild comment.  I believe the media in Washington has asked Ovechkin some pointed questions, so maybe the Caps are just trying to get out in front of it.  The next question though is how are the Caps going to feel when they play in an arena that is singing the national anthem of Ukraine?
 
If symphony orchestras are cutting ties with Putin supporters...

Sent from my moto g(7) power using Tapatalk

 
The Russian strategic approach has been bizarre but they are countering that by increasing their artillery fire at civilians. 

Evacuation lanes were negotiated.  Russia fired on them on the first morning they were supposed to be considered safe zones and evacuation had to be halted.
 
L K said:
The Russian strategic approach has been bizarre but they are countering that by increasing their artillery fire at civilians. 

Evacuation lanes were negotiated.  Russia fired on them on the first morning they were supposed to be considered safe zones and evacuation had to be halted.
War crimes up the wazoo.
 
Zelensky has a meeting with US congress. 

Joe Manchin and Marco Rubio post photos of Zelensky despite requests not to to protect his location.  Absolutely stupid a-holes.
 
L K said:
Zelensky has a meeting with US congress. 

Joe Manchin and Marco Rubio post photos of Zelensky despite requests not to to protect his location.  Absolutely stupid a-holes.
So thoroughly shameless. There?s no low these guys can?t hit.
 
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