Hurricanes @ Leafs - Jan. 19th, 7:30pm - TSN, TSN 1050

[Frank E]

Having said that, I'm not too pumped about them going .500 from here on in and picking around 15th.

If they only go .500 the rest of the way, they'll be picking in the 6-10 range. That's where ~.500 teams end up now.

Alright then, we need a projection on a record that results them in picking 4th to 6th. 

Get on it.

 

[bustaheims]

Alright then, we need a projection on a record that results them in picking 4th to 6th. 

Get on it.

Realistically, a top 4 pick is out of range. Considering how poorly the bottom 4 teams have fared this season, the Leafs would basically have to play ~.300 hockey to even have a chance of one of those teams passing them. That's just not something an NHL team is like to see over a 30+ game stretch. They might be able work their way into 5th or 6th by playing ~.450 hockey, which is entirely possible (though, I think, unlikely).

 

[Bullfrog]

CtB, there appears to be a big mistake in your GDT. It appears you haven't updated the 'Canes stats for the last 20 games or so.

You're right, something does seem fishy. Must be something wrong with their stats on NHL.com I took them directly from there!

I didn't realize they're so bad. Kessel almost has as many assists as E.Staal has points. And Skinner with only 19 points?

 

[Heroic Shrimp]

So for this game, maybe we should redefine a hat trick as when a player scores a goal in a game.

 

[mc]

This game has loss written all over it.

 

[freer]

This game has loss written all over it.

according to you they all do. Not much positive from your stand point eh?

 

[mc]

This game has loss written all over it.

according to you they all do. Not much positive from your stand point eh?

Carolina is 3-1 in the last 4. Pretty good for a team supposedly tanking. Leafs on the other hand...

Don't know where you where you get "according to you they all do".

 

[ZBBM]

Alright then, we need a projection on a record that results them in picking 4th to 6th. 

Get on it.

Realistically, a top 4 pick is out of range. Considering how poorly the bottom 4 teams have fared this season, the Leafs would basically have to play ~.300 hockey to even have a chance of one of those teams passing them. That's just not something an NHL team is like to see over a 30+ game stretch. They might be able work their way into 5th or 6th by playing ~.450 hockey, which is entirely possible (though, I think, unlikely).

Yeah, but I thought they upped the odds of the lottery to penalize the ineptitude of the Oil.

 

[Crucialness Key]

WHO'S HOT
NO-ONE

WHO'S NOT
EVERYONE

WHO'S HURT
EVERYONE ELSE

 

[bustaheims]

Yeah, but I thought they upped the odds of the lottery to penalize the ineptitude of the Oil.

They evened the odds out a little so that, now, the last place team only has a 20% chance of getting the 1st overall pick, whereas it used to be ~50% - but, a lot of that came from the change that made it possible for all non-playoff teams to win the 1st overall pick in the lottery, instead of just having the winner move up 4 spots. While the odds of winning for a lot of the less terribad teams have close to doubled in some cases, they're still not favourable.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

No Komarov, and Bernier does indeed start.

 

[LuncheonMeat]

Horachek hoping to see more out of David Clarkson tonight.  Yeah, cuz that will fix things.  That's like asking more of the windshield wipers on your race car.

4-2 Carolina, and the Leafs falling to 23rd place by the end of the week.

 

[ZBBM]

Yeah, but I thought they upped the odds of the lottery to penalize the ineptitude of the Oil.

They evened the odds out a little so that, now, the last place team only has a 20% chance of getting the 1st overall pick, whereas it used to be ~50% - but, a lot of that came from the change that made it possible for all non-playoff teams to win the 1st overall pick in the lottery, instead of just having the winner move up 4 spots. While the odds of winning for a lot of the less terribad teams have close to doubled in some cases, they're still not favourable.

So you're telling me there's hope?  Is that what you're telling me?

 

[bustaheims]

So you're telling me there's hope?  Is that what you're telling me?

I'd say it's more like "hope."

 

[L K]

No Komarov, and Bernier does indeed start.

Good to know Komarov can get hit with two illegal hits and miss 18 games and counting meanwhile the number of games missed by Ovechkin and Matt Greene miss is a collective 0 games.  NHL...where player safety happens.

 

[L K]

Horachek hoping to see more out of David Clarkson tonight.  Yeah, cuz that will fix things.  That's like asking more of the windshield wipers on your race car.

4-2 Carolina, and the Leafs falling to 23rd place by the end of the week.

I'm reminded of a Rush song when it comes to Clarkson.

 

[L K]

Yeah, but I thought they upped the odds of the lottery to penalize the ineptitude of the Oil.

They evened the odds out a little so that, now, the last place team only has a 20% chance of getting the 1st overall pick, whereas it used to be ~50% - but, a lot of that came from the change that made it possible for all non-playoff teams to win the 1st overall pick in the lottery, instead of just having the winner move up 4 spots. While the odds of winning for a lot of the less terribad teams have close to doubled in some cases, they're still not favourable.

So you're telling me there's hope?  Is that what you're telling me?

Next year is the big change. 

Three separate lotteries for 1st overall.  Then a lottery for 2nd overall.  Then a lottery for 3rd overall.  The odds are still weighted heavily in favour of the 28th-30th ranked teams but a much better chance for teams to move up.

 

[LuncheonMeat]

Horachek hoping to see more out of David Clarkson tonight.  Yeah, cuz that will fix things.  That's like asking more of the windshield wipers on your race car.

4-2 Carolina, and the Leafs falling to 23rd place by the end of the week.

I'm reminded of a Rush song when it comes to Clarkson.

Tears??  Limbo??  Turn The Page (I wish)?  I think I'm going bald?

 

[L K]

Horachek hoping to see more out of David Clarkson tonight.  Yeah, cuz that will fix things.  That's like asking more of the windshield wipers on your race car.

4-2 Carolina, and the Leafs falling to 23rd place by the end of the week.

I'm reminded of a Rush song when it comes to Clarkson.

Tears??  Limbo??  Turn The Page (I wish)?  I think I'm going bald?

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=096LhjGNNCk[/youtube]

 

[bustaheims]

I'm reminded of a Rush song when it comes to Clarkson.

Funny. I'm reminded of this terrible Metallica song:

[youtube]Xz9DX_VMXdI[/youtube]