Armchair GM 2019-2020

[herman]

He's the perfect goalie for the Leafs style of defense.
https://twitter.com/EvolvingHockey/status/1203875163554664448

Like, I'm feeding them Kapanen and a 4th for their backup goalie in a rebuild year when they have 3.
Hire New York's goalie coach* while we're at it, although he's probably attached to Lundqvist's hip.

* Benoit Allaire, brother of Francois

 

[Frank E]

So flesh this out for me herman...he's an RFA with arbitration rights after this season?

Freddie is due for a deal after 2020-2021, and the defence needs to re-sign a bunch of guys likely with raises. 

 

[CarltonTheBear]

So flesh this out for me herman...he's an RFA with arbitration rights after this season?

Freddie is due for a deal after 2020-2021, and the defence needs to re-sign a bunch of guys likely with raises. 

I'd say it's unlikely he gets much more than $1.5mil, if that, after this season. He's still a back-up goalie with little games played. And assuming we're using herman's trade proposal we're still coming out ahead in terms of cap space with Kapanen going out.

 

[Bates]

How about Johnsson (3.4) + Ceci (4.5) -1.5m retained
for
Raanta (4.25) and Crouse (1.0)

Get a good, experienced goalie, a physical winger w/ upside and clear 1.25million on the Cap. Sandin comes up and Dermott moves to the right side. All problems fixed?????

What's in that for the Coyote's?

 

[herman]

So flesh this out for me herman...he's an RFA with arbitration rights after this season?

Freddie is due for a deal after 2020-2021, and the defence needs to re-sign a bunch of guys likely with raises. 

I'd say it's unlikely he gets much more than $1.5mil, if that, after this season. He's still a back-up goalie with little games played. And assuming we're using herman's trade proposal we're still coming out ahead in terms of cap space with Kapanen going out.

My trade proposal is a deliberate overpay.

Our cap situation is significantly cleaner next year regardless.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

My trade proposal is a deliberate overpay.

Our cap situation is significantly cleaner next year regardless.

I don't even really think it's an overpay, although some people here will probably think it is. We're talking about a pretty good young goalie who the Rangers don't technically have to trade. For a second I thought that they would be in a bind when it came to expansion but Lundqvist is a pending UFA (and likely retiring) heading into the draft and Shestyorkin isn't eligible for it. So they can protect Georgiev no problem. If that wasn't the case there would be a lot more pressure on the Rangers to move him.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

Didn't realize that Georgiev was an undrafted free agent. It'd be nice if the Leafs' "Russian Whisperer" could start looking at goalies too.

 

[Bullfrog]

How about Johnsson (3.4) + Ceci (4.5) -1.5m retained
for
Raanta (4.25) and Crouse (1.0)

Get a good, experienced goalie, a physical winger w/ upside and clear 1.25million on the Cap. Sandin comes up and Dermott moves to the right side. All problems fixed?????

What's in that for the Coyote's?

Three years of Johnsson is pretty good for a back-up goalie.

 

[Zee]

If Detroit really wants to solidify last overall why don't they trade us Bernier for Ceci? Salary will work, Bernier could be backup this year and next and Ceci makes the Wings even worse this season. It's a win-win

 

[Frank E]

So flesh this out for me herman...he's an RFA with arbitration rights after this season?

Freddie is due for a deal after 2020-2021, and the defence needs to re-sign a bunch of guys likely with raises. 

I'd say it's unlikely he gets much more than $1.5mil, if that, after this season. He's still a back-up goalie with little games played. And assuming we're using herman's trade proposal we're still coming out ahead in terms of cap space with Kapanen going out.

I understand that with Kapanen going out, you can bring in a $1.5 guy...I'm just worried about next year's picture given they've got 1 NHL defenseman under contract for next season at this point.

I'll say Dermott gets $1.5m X 2.

That would obviously result in:

Rielly ($5)  -    Pietrangelo ($8)
Dermott  ($1.5)  -  Tanev ($2)
Sandin ($.9)  - Liljegren ($.9)
Holl ($.7)

I think you'd have to let Hyman walk to get to something like this and have $1.5 in a back-up?

 

[CarltonTheBear]

I understand that with Kapanen going out, you can bring in a $1.5 guy...I'm just worried about next year's picture given they've got 1 NHL defenseman under contract for next season at this point.

Let's just assume that this trade happens and we re-sign Georgiev to a $1.5mil bridge deal. Let's also assume that next years salary cap is $84.5mil because I believe that was the last projected figure, but who knows what it will actually be. This is what our roster would look like with who we have currently signed (plus the Georgiev trade):

Johnsson-Matthews-Nylander
Hyman-Tavares-Marner
Petan-Kerfoot-_____
Agostino-_____-Moore

Rielly-_____
_____-_____
Sandin-Liljegren

Andersen
Georgiev

That's a 15 man roster with about a $66.4mil cap hit. Using an $84.5mil ceiling, that gives us about $18mil in cap space to fill in those gaps.

Let's make a couple of quick signings. We'll plug in Engvall at 4C at $950k. Let's have Mikheyev will that last top-9 forward spot at $2.5mil (that contract is tricky to predict though). Let's also throw in a random 13th forward, say Timashov at $800k. Guys like him, Petan, Agostino, Engvall can all be replaced by others but odds are their roster spots will be filled by sub-$1mil players. That gets us set at forward. We're now at just under $14mil in cap space.

Now let's look at the defence. You have Dermott re-signing for $1.5mil. That seems low to me. He's been up and down this season so I genuinely don't know what he's getting, but let's call it $2.5mil instead. Let's also assume we sign a 7th defenceman for league minimum ($750k). I'll just pick a completely random defenceman off the top of my head: Martin Marincin.

Let's look at what that roster looks like now:

Johnsson-Matthews-Nylander
Mikheyev-Tavares-Marner
Petan-Kerfoot-Hyman
Timashov-Engvall-Moore
Agostino

Rielly-_____
Dermott-_____
Sandin-Liljegren
Marincin

Andersen
Georgiev

So now we have about $10.6mil to sign two top-4, preferably right handed defencemen. Can you fit Pietrangelo and Tanev like you suggusted? Pietro at $8mil sounds about right but I'd have to guess Tanev gets at least twice what you suggested so that duo is probably out. But maybe one of Muzzin or Barrie and Tanev? That could potentially fit. I'm also just now remembering that Justin Holl exists. Right now him and Muzzin are forming the shutdown pair. If that keeps up all season long and he doesn't seem out of place, you could probably re-sign both of those guys for under $8mil, have Dermott move to the right side with Rielly, and still have about $2mil left in cap space to play with. Or you could use all of that $10.6mil on a Pietrangelo+Holl signing.

So, basically I do think that there is room to play with here. Especially if at least one of Kapanen/Johnsson/Mikheyev/Hyman is dealt by the offseason.

 

[Frank E]

1. What did you pay for Hyman?
2.  I thought Tanev gets less because he's missed a lot of games...
3.  I knew you'd find a way to get Marincin on this roster again.  I purposely left him out.

 

[Redleaf]

https://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/10-potential-backup-goalie-targets-maple-leafs/

Sparks is on that. list. lol

 

[herman]

With the way our top 4 forwards are set up, we can conceivably cheap out hard on their LWs, as long as they fit the style of forechecks good and is reasonably defensively responsible. One of those spots is good for a showcase free-agent looking to build up his next contract off a league min deal. I'm thinking re-signing Marincin and Holl is nearly a forgone conclusion so long as they're amenable to <$1M.

Other than the backup, if the guy costs 1.5-2M, I'm leaning towards just using a league min. player instead. And honestly, I'm looking for a Rielly trade, even though that may be unpopular, especially if it leads to a Seth Jonesian return.

Basically:
Tier 1 - Core: 11.63M + 11M + 10.893M + 6.96M + 5M + 5M + future1RD
Tier 2 - Key Depth: 3.5M + 3.4M + 2.25M + BackupGoalie
Tier 3 - ELCs: ELC x 4 to 5
Tier 4 - Expendables: League Minimum x 6-8

 

[CarltonTheBear]

1. What did you pay for Hyman?
2.  I thought Tanev gets less because he's missed a lot of games...
3.  I knew you'd find a way to get Marincin on this roster again.  I purposely left him out.

1. Hyman's current contract runs for one more season after this one, so he's still there at $2.25mil.
2. I doubt that'll effect his AAV that much. He might not get term, but someone will still pay him a decent amount. Especially if he can stay healthy this season, which he has so far.
3. I told you I selected him at random.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

I'm thinking re-signing Marincin and Holl is nearly a forgone conclusion so long as they're amenable to <$1M.

This is making a pretty big assumption, but if Holl continues playing 18 minutes a night with Muzzin he isn't coming back for under $1mil.

 

[Frank E]

I was sure Hyman was up this year.  I think I confused his contract with Connor Brown's. 

Connor Brown.

 

[herman]

I'm thinking re-signing Marincin and Holl is nearly a forgone conclusion so long as they're amenable to <$1M.

This is making a pretty big assumption, but if Holl continues playing 18 minutes a night with Muzzin he isn't coming back for under $1mil.

I mean he shouldn't take that haircut. But Dubas/Keefe were the group that fished him out of the ECHL and repeatedly went to bat for him and I wonder how much that counts for.

 

[Frank E]

I'm thinking re-signing Marincin and Holl is nearly a forgone conclusion so long as they're amenable to <$1M.

This is making a pretty big assumption, but if Holl continues playing 18 minutes a night with Muzzin he isn't coming back for under $1mil.

I mean he shouldn't take that haircut. But Dubas/Keefe were the group that fished him out of the ECHL and repeatedly went to bat for him and I wonder how much that counts for.

It counts for zero.

 

[herman]

https://twitter.com/kristen_shilton/status/1204133239666798592

Y?know who?d be a good third line scoring option on this team after Kappy is traded